SIBN

SI-BONE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

SIBN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has a slight edge over SIBN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

SIBN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

SIBN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

SIBN PE Valuation

SIBN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SIBN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SIBN has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SIBN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$32.64
Downside-25%$17.99

Calculated from the latest close: $24.14 on Nov 12.

SIBN trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SIBN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SIBN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.13Q1 2024: $-1.08Q2 2024: $-1.00Q3 2024: $-0.91Q4 2024: $-0.75Q1 2025: $-0.63Q2 2025: $-0.55Q3 2025: $-0.50Q4 2025: $-0.44Q1 2026: $-0.39Q2 2026: $-0.34Q3 2026: $-0.31
Q4 2023: $-1.13Q1 2024: $-1.08Q2 2024: $-1.00Q3 2024: $-0.91Q4 2024: $-0.75Q1 2025: $-0.63Q2 2025: $-0.55Q3 2025: $-0.50Q4 2025: $-0.44Q1 2026: $-0.39Q2 2026: $-0.34Q3 2026: $-0.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.31+$0.19
Q2 2026-$0.34+$0.21
Q1 2026-$0.39+$0.24
Q4 2025-$0.44+$0.31
Q3 2025-$0.50+$0.41
Q2 2025-$0.55+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.63+$0.45
Q4 2024-$0.75+$0.38

SIBN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.31 per share over the past year, against $1.98 at its worst in mid-2022.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH has the edge over SIBN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SIBN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $38MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $40MQ4 2024: $49MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $56M
Q4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $38MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $40MQ4 2024: $49MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $56M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$55.7M+14%
Q2 2026$56M+15%
Q1 2026$52.6M+11%
Q4 2025$56.3M+15%
Q3 2025$48.7M+21%
Q2 2025$48.6M+22%
Q1 2025$47.3M+25%
Q4 2024$49M+26%

SIBN has the edge over UNH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

SIBN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$9MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$620,000Q4 2025: $440,000Q1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$768,000Q3 2026: −$427,000
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$9MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$620,000Q4 2025: $440,000Q1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$768,000Q3 2026: −$427,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$427K+$193K
Q2 2026-$768K+$1.2M
Q1 2026-$3.4M+$3.5M
Q4 2025$440K+$1.5M
Q3 2025-$620K+$2.1M
Q2 2025-$1.9M+$7.5M
Q1 2025-$7M+$2.7M
Q4 2024-$1.1M+$2.3M

SIBN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4M over the past year, against −$11M the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over SIBN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SIBN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 44MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 45M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 44MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+422K shares
1 year+4%+1.7M shares
3 years+12%+4.6M shares
5 years+35%+11.6M shares
Available history+82%+20.2M shares

SIBN has 45M diluted shares, up 4% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over SIBN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SIBN Net Leverage

SIBN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

SIBN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI74.9Overbought
Stochastic76.7Neutral

SIBN's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

SIBN PE vs Healthcare Sector

SIBN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

SIBN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.916% above
20 week MA$19.325% above
50 week MA$17.141% above
100 week MA$16.645% above
200 week MA$17.538% above

SIBN has the edge over UNH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

SIBN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.1$30.3+43%
2021$30.3$21.9-28%
2022$21.9$11.8-46%
2023$11.8$21.0+78%
2024$21.0$13.7-35%
2025$13.7$20.4+48%
2026 YTD$20.4$24.1+19%

SIBN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 19% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over SIBN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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