SHW

The Sherwin-Williams Company

61
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

SHW's fundamentals are mixed: free cash flow grew 27%, while its operating margin held steady at 14%. At 32x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 34x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

SHW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Stable

SHW's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

SHW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x25x38x50x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x25x38x50x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward27x$351—
Cheap31x$333-5.1%
Current32x$351—
Fair34x$367+4.5%
Expensive37x$404+15%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SHW's PE is in its cheap range at 32x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 27x next year's earnings.

SHW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SHW, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SHW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$417.90
Downside-13%$304.19

Calculated from the latest close: $351.39 on Nov 12.

SHW's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +19% against −13%.

SHW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.25Q1 2024: $9.38Q2 2024: $9.81Q3 2024: $10.04Q4 2024: $10.55Q1 2025: $10.58Q2 2025: $10.08Q3 2025: $10.25Q4 2025: $10.26Q1 2026: $10.41Q2 2026: $10.84Q3 2026: $10.87Forward: $12.85
Q4 2023: $9.25Q1 2024: $9.38Q2 2024: $9.81Q3 2024: $10.04Q4 2024: $10.55Q1 2025: $10.58Q2 2025: $10.08Q3 2025: $10.25Q4 2025: $10.26Q1 2026: $10.41Q2 2026: $10.84Q3 2026: $10.87Forward: $12.85
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.85+18%
Q3 2026$10.87+6%
Q2 2026$10.84+7.5%
Q1 2026$10.41-1.6%
Q4 2025$10.26-2.7%
Q3 2025$10.25+2.1%
Q2 2025$10.08+2.8%
Q1 2025$10.58+13%
Q4 2024$10.55+14%

SHW earned $10.87 per share over the past year, up 6% from the year before.

SHW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.3BQ1 2024: $5.4BQ2 2024: $6.3BQ3 2024: $6.2BQ4 2024: $5.3BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $6.4BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $5.7BQ2 2026: $6.8BQ3 2026: $6.9B
Q4 2023: $5.3BQ1 2024: $5.4BQ2 2024: $6.3BQ3 2024: $6.2BQ4 2024: $5.3BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $6.4BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $5.7BQ2 2026: $6.8BQ3 2026: $6.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.9B+7.9%
Q2 2026$6.8B+7.5%
Q1 2026$5.7B+6.8%
Q4 2025$5.6B+5.6%
Q3 2025$6.4B+3.2%
Q2 2025$6.3B+0.7%
Q1 2025$5.3B-1.1%
Q4 2024$5.3B+0.9%

SHW's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $6.9B last quarter, up 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

SHW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $599MQ1 2024: −$343MQ2 2024: $952MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $635MQ1 2025: −$250MQ2 2025: $931MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $862MQ1 2026: $800,000Q2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $976M
Q4 2023: $599MQ1 2024: −$343MQ2 2024: $952MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $635MQ1 2025: −$250MQ2 2025: $931MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $862MQ1 2026: $800,000Q2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $976M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$975.8M-12%
Q2 2026$1.2B+33%
Q1 2026$800K+$251.2M
Q4 2025$862.1M+36%
Q3 2025$1.1B+32%
Q2 2025$931.1M-2.2%
Q1 2025-$250.4M+$92.3M
Q4 2024$634.5M+5.9%

SHW generated $3.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 27% from the year before.

SHW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 258MQ1 2024: 256MQ2 2024: 254MQ3 2024: 254MQ4 2024: 254MQ1 2025: 253MQ2 2025: 251MQ3 2025: 249MQ4 2025: 250MQ1 2026: 248MQ2 2026: 246MQ3 2026: 243M
Q4 2023: 258MQ1 2024: 256MQ2 2024: 254MQ3 2024: 254MQ4 2024: 254MQ1 2025: 253MQ2 2025: 251MQ3 2025: 249MQ4 2025: 250MQ1 2026: 248MQ2 2026: 246MQ3 2026: 243M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-3.2M shares
1 year-2.5%-6.2M shares
3 years-6%-15.6M shares
5 years-8.9%-23.8M shares
Available history-13%-37.5M shares

SHW has 243M diluted shares, down 2.5% from a year ago, with $2.5B in buybacks over the past year.

SHW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.0xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.7x
Q4 2023: 2.0xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.7xModerate
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.0xHealthy

SHW's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

SHW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.0Neutral
Stochastic52.1Neutral

SHW's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

SHW PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricSHWSector medianRelative
PE32x19x74% above
PE %32408 pts below

SHW is trading at 32x earnings, a 74% premium to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

SHW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$333.55.4% above
20 week MA$337.14.2% above
50 week MA$333.85.3% above
100 week MA$340.63.2% above
200 week MA$317.611% above

SHW is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% above its 200-week average.

SHW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$193.9$244.6+26%
2021$244.6$338.4+38%
2022$338.4$242.7-28%
2023$242.7$311.9+29%
2024$311.9$343.3+10%
2025$343.3$325.4-5.2%
2026 YTD$325.4$351.4+8%

SHW has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 8% so far in 2026.

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