SHOP

Shopify Inc.

75
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

SHOP has the edge over VZ overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

VZ

Verizon Communications Inc.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

VZ has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SHOP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

SHOP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

VZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

VZ's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

SHOP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE247x494x742x989x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE247x494x742x989x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward67x$147—
Cheap78x$129-12%
Current89x$147—
Fair107x$177+21%
Expensive338x$557+280%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SHOP's PE is in its cheap range at 89x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 67x next year's earnings.

VZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$32.43-30%
Forward9x$46.55—
Fair11x$43.63-6.3%
Current12x$46.55—
Expensive14x$56.75+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VZ has the edge over SHOP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SHOP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SHOP, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VZ's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

SHOP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+62%$237.14
Downside-23%$113.00

Calculated from the latest close: $146.78 on Nov 12.

SHOP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VZ, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$54.56
Downside-17%$38.49

Calculated from the latest close: $46.55 on Nov 12.

VZ trails SHOP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SHOP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $-0.17Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $1.07Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.24Q2 2025: $1.80Q3 2025: $1.36Q4 2025: $0.94Q1 2026: $1.02Q2 2026: $1.49Q3 2026: $1.65Forward: $2.20
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $-0.17Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $1.07Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.24Q2 2025: $1.80Q3 2025: $1.36Q4 2025: $0.94Q1 2026: $1.02Q2 2026: $1.49Q3 2026: $1.65Forward: $2.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.20+33%
Q3 2026$1.65+21%
Q2 2026$1.49-17%
Q1 2026$1.02-18%
Q4 2025$0.94-40%
Q3 2025$1.36+27%
Q2 2025$1.80+84%
Q1 2025$1.24+$1.41
Q4 2024$1.56+1633%

SHOP has the edge over VZ on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.19+32%
Q3 2026$3.93-16%
Q2 2026$3.85-10%
Q1 2026$4.11-2.1%
Q4 2025$4.06-1.9%
Q3 2025$4.68+103%
Q2 2025$4.29+61%
Q1 2025$4.20+57%
Q4 2024$4.14+51%

VZ's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.93 over the past year, against $5.34 in late 2021.

SHOP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+32%
Q2 2026$3.6B+34%
Q1 2026$3.2B+34%
Q4 2025$3.7B+31%
Q3 2025$2.8B+32%
Q2 2025$2.7B+31%
Q1 2025$2.4B+27%
Q4 2024$2.8B+31%

SHOP has the edge over VZ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$34.3B+1.5%
Q2 2026$34.3B-0.7%
Q1 2026$34.4B+2.9%
Q4 2025$36.4B+2%
Q3 2025$33.8B+1.5%
Q2 2025$34.5B+5.2%
Q1 2025$33.5B+1.5%
Q4 2024$35.7B+1.6%

VZ's revenue has held roughly level: $34.3B last quarter, up 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

SHOP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $446MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $333MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $611MQ1 2025: $363MQ2 2025: $422MQ3 2025: $507MQ4 2025: $715MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $654MQ3 2026: $816M
Q4 2023: $446MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $333MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $611MQ1 2025: $363MQ2 2025: $422MQ3 2025: $507MQ4 2025: $715MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $654MQ3 2026: $816M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$816M+61%
Q2 2026$654M+55%
Q1 2026$476M+31%
Q4 2025$715M+17%
Q3 2025$507M+20%
Q2 2025$422M+27%
Q1 2025$363M+56%
Q4 2024$611M+37%

SHOP has the edge over VZ on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.5B+2.2%
Q2 2026$10.4B+16%
Q1 2026$8B+2.6%
Q4 2025$9.1B-13%
Q3 2025$11.3B+14%
Q2 2025$9B-5.4%
Q1 2025$7.8B+9.9%
Q4 2024$10.4B+20%

VZ's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $39B over the past year, up 1.5% from the year before.

SHOP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-7.2M shares
1 year-1.7%-22.1M shares
3 years-0.4%-5.1M shares
5 years+1.1%+14.5M shares
Available history+11%+130M shares

SHOP has 1.3B diluted shares, down 1.7% from a year ago.

VZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-10M shares
1 year-1.7%-72M shares
3 years-1.3%-55M shares
5 years+0.4%+17M shares
Available history+0.5%+21M shares

VZ has 4.2B diluted shares, down 1.7% from a year ago.

SHOP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

SHOP has the edge over VZ on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.3xElevated
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.0xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

VZ's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago.

SHOP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic51.5Neutral

SHOP's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

VZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic44.6Neutral

VZ's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

SHOP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSHOPSector medianRelative
PE89x28x219% above
PE %29356 pts below

SHOP is trading at 89x earnings, a 219% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

VZ PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricVZSector medianRelative
PE12x16x28% below
PE %582632 pts above

VZ has the edge over SHOP on valuation relative to its sector.

SHOP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$157.06.5% below
20 week MA$143.12.5% above
50 week MA$134.49.2% above
100 week MA$128.115% above
200 week MA$97.750% above

SHOP's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 50% above its 200-week average.

VZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.13.1% above
20 week MA$46.30.5% above
50 week MA$46.11.1% above
100 week MA$44.25.4% above
200 week MA$41.412% above

VZ has the edge over SHOP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SHOP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.8$122.6+200%
2021$122.6$143.9+17%
2022$143.9$33.7-77%
2023$33.7$77.9+131%
2024$77.9$108.2+39%
2025$108.2$170.8+58%
2026 YTD$170.8$146.8-14%

SHOP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2020 to −77% in 2022. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

VZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.5$58.8-4.4%
2021$58.8$52.7-10%
2022$52.7$38.4-27%
2023$38.4$37.7-1.8%
2024$37.7$39.9+5.9%
2025$39.9$40.5+1.4%
2026 YTD$40.5$46.6+15%

VZ has the edge over SHOP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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