SHOP
Shopify Inc.
SHOP offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
TSM has a slight edge over SHOP overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
SHOP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
SHOP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
TSM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Unavailable | |
| Unavailable | |
| Strong |
TSM's balance sheet is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, profitability and cash flow.
SHOP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 67x | $147 | — |
| Cheap | 78x | $129 | -12% |
| Current | 89x | $147 | — |
| Fair | 107x | $177 | +21% |
| Expensive | 338x | $557 | +280% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SHOP's PE is in its cheap range at 89x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 67x next year's earnings.
TSM PE Valuation
TSM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SHOP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SHOP, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TSM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
TSM has the edge over SHOP on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
SHOP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.20 | +33% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.65 | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.49 | -17% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.02 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.94 | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.36 | +27% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.80 | +84% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.24 | +$1.41 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +1633% |
SHOP's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.65 over the past year, against $2.68 in late 2021.
TSM Earnings Per Share
TSM and SHOP do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
SHOP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +32% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.2B | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7B | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +31% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4B | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.8B | +31% |
SHOP's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $3.7B last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | -1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.6% | +4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +3.1 points |
SHOP's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 3.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TSM Quarterly Revenue
TSM and SHOP do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 59% | +8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 60% | +11 points |
| Q1 2026 | 58% | +9.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 54% | +5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 51% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 50% | +7.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 49% | +6.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 49% | +7.4 points |
TSM has the edge over SHOP on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SHOP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $816M | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $654M | +55% |
| Q1 2026 | $476M | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $715M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $507M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $422M | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $363M | +56% |
| Q4 2024 | $611M | +37% |
SHOP generated $2.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 40% from the year before.
TSM Free Cash Flow
TSM and SHOP do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
SHOP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -7.2M shares |
| 1 year | -1.7% | -22.1M shares |
| 3 years | -0.4% | -5.1M shares |
| 5 years | +1.1% | +14.5M shares |
| Available history | +11% | +130M shares |
SHOP has the edge over TSM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $562M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B |
| Q1 2026 | $491M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
TSM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +45.8K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +391K shares |
| 3 years | 0% | +528K shares |
| 5 years | 0% | +324K shares |
| Available history | 0% | +324K shares |
TSM has 5.2B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
SHOP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
SHOP has the edge over TSM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TSM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
TSM has more cash than debt.
SHOP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 51.5 | Neutral |
SHOP's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
TSM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.9 | Neutral |
TSM's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).
SHOP PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SHOP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 89x | 28x | 219% above |
| PE % | 29 | 35 | 6 pts below |
SHOP is trading at 89x earnings, a 219% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
TSM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | TSM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 3.3% below |
| PE % | 45 | 35 | 10 pts above |
TSM has the edge over SHOP on valuation relative to its sector.
SHOP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $157.0 | 6.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $143.1 | 2.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $134.4 | 9.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $128.1 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $97.7 | 50% above |
SHOP has the edge over TSM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
TSM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $424.4 | 4.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $422.4 | 4% below |
| 50 week MA | $386.5 | 4.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $304.5 | 33% above |
| 200 week MA | $215.6 | 88% above |
TSM has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 88% above its 200-week average.
SHOP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $40.8 | $122.6 | +200% |
| 2021 | $122.6 | $143.9 | +17% |
| 2022 | $143.9 | $33.7 | -77% |
| 2023 | $33.7 | $77.9 | +131% |
| 2024 | $77.9 | $108.2 | +39% |
| 2025 | $108.2 | $170.8 | +58% |
| 2026 YTD | $170.8 | $146.8 | -14% |
SHOP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2020 to −77% in 2022. It's down 14% so far in 2026.
TSM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $58.5 | $106.0 | +81% |
| 2021 | $106.0 | $120.7 | +14% |
| 2022 | $120.7 | $74.9 | -38% |
| 2023 | $74.9 | $104.0 | +39% |
| 2024 | $104.0 | $201.6 | +94% |
| 2025 | $201.6 | $302.8 | +50% |
| 2026 YTD | $302.8 | $405.5 | +34% |
TSM has the edge over SHOP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.