SHOE
Shoe Station Group Inc.
SHOE's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has the edge over SHOE overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
SHOE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
SHOE's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
SHOE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.3x | $5.57 | -61% |
| Fair | 9.2x | $8.12 | -43% |
| Forward | 10x | $14.20 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $13.27 | -6.5% |
| Current | 16x | $14.20 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SHOE has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
SHOE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SHOE's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SHOE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.39 | +58% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.88 | -61% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.35 | -44% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.90 | -29% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.10 | -23% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.27 | -20% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.39 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.68 | 0% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.72 | -6.2% |
SHOE has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
SHOE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $284.3M | -7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $270.7M | -2.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $254.1M | -3.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $297.2M | -3.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $306.4M | -7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $277.7M | -7.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $262.9M | -6.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $306.9M | -4.1% |
SHOE's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $284M last quarter, down 7.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.7% | -5.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | -2.2% | -6.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.3% | -1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.3% | -1.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.2% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.3% | -3.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.3% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8% | -0.7 points |
SHOE has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA has the edge over SHOE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
SHOE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.5M | +197% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.6M | +$35.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $27.7M | -24% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.7M | +138% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2M | -88% |
| Q2 2025 | -$23M | -435% |
| Q1 2025 | $36.2M | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.3M | -76% |
SHOE still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $67M over the past year.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
SHOE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -72K shares |
| 1 year | -0.5% | -140K shares |
| 3 years | -0.3% | -95K shares |
| 5 years | -4.7% | -1.3M shares |
| Available history | -6.2% | -1.8M shares |
SHOE has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $7M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | $5.4M |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
SHOE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
SHOE has the edge over TSLA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has more cash than debt.
SHOE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 71.0 | Neutral |
SHOE's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
SHOE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SHOE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 18x | 10% below |
| PE % | 85 | 47 | 38 pts above |
SHOE has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
SHOE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.7 | 3.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $14.2 | 0.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $16.6 | 14% below |
| 100 week MA | $19.2 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $24.7 | 42% below |
SHOE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 42% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over SHOE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SHOE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.4 | $19.4 | +5.3% |
| 2021 | $19.4 | $39.3 | +102% |
| 2022 | $39.3 | $24.5 | -38% |
| 2023 | $24.5 | $30.2 | +23% |
| 2024 | $30.2 | $35.7 | +18% |
| 2025 | $35.7 | $18.1 | -49% |
| 2026 YTD | $18.1 | $14.2 | -21% |
SHOE's yearly returns have swung widely, from +102% in 2021 to −49% in 2025. It's down 21% so far in 2026.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA has the edge over SHOE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.