SHLS

Shoals Technologies Group, Inc.

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

SHLS's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 35x earnings, below its usual 41x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

SHLS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

SHLS's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

SHLS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE258x516x775x1033x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE258x516x775x1033x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$8.07—
Cheap23x$5.40-33%
Current35x$8.07—
Fair41x$9.32+15%
Expensive89x$20.40+153%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SHLS's PE is in its fair range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SHLS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SHLS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SHLS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$14.79
Downside-31%$5.56

Calculated from the latest close: $8.07 on Nov 12.

SHLS's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +83% against −31%.

SHLS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.17Q2 2024: $0.13Q3 2024: $0.19Q4 2024: $0.14Q1 2025: $0.11Q2 2025: $0.12Q3 2025: $0.19Q4 2025: $0.20Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.19Q3 2026: $0.23Forward: $0.55
Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.17Q2 2024: $0.13Q3 2024: $0.19Q4 2024: $0.14Q1 2025: $0.11Q2 2025: $0.12Q3 2025: $0.19Q4 2025: $0.20Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.19Q3 2026: $0.23Forward: $0.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.55+140%
Q3 2026$0.23+21%
Q2 2026$0.19+58%
Q1 2026$0.20+82%
Q4 2025$0.20+43%
Q3 2025$0.190%
Q2 2025$0.12-7.7%
Q1 2025$0.11-35%
Q4 2024$0.14-42%

SHLS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.23 over the past year, against $1.00 in mid-2023.

SHLS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $130MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $102MQ4 2024: $107MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $136MQ4 2025: $148MQ1 2026: $141MQ2 2026: $163MQ3 2026: $195M
Q4 2023: $130MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $102MQ4 2024: $107MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $136MQ4 2025: $148MQ1 2026: $141MQ2 2026: $163MQ3 2026: $195M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$195.3M+44%
Q2 2026$163.4M+47%
Q1 2026$140.6M+75%
Q4 2025$148.3M+39%
Q3 2025$135.8M+33%
Q2 2025$110.8M+12%
Q1 2025$80.4M-12%
Q4 2024$107M-18%

SHLS's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $195M last quarter, up 44% from the same quarter a year ago.

SHLS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: −$11MQ1 2026: −$49MQ2 2026: −$207,000Q3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: −$11MQ1 2026: −$49MQ2 2026: −$207,000Q3 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$26M+190%
Q2 2026-$207K+$25.8M
Q1 2026-$49.1M-498%
Q4 2025-$11.3M-190%
Q3 2025$9M-33%
Q2 2025-$26M-173%
Q1 2025$12.3M+19%
Q4 2024$12.5M-47%

SHLS's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$35M over the past year.

SHLS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 165MQ1 2024: 171MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 167MQ4 2024: 169MQ1 2025: 167MQ2 2025: 168MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 168MQ1 2026: 168MQ2 2026: 170MQ3 2026: 170M
Q4 2023: 165MQ1 2024: 171MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 167MQ4 2024: 169MQ1 2025: 167MQ2 2025: 168MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 168MQ1 2026: 168MQ2 2026: 170MQ3 2026: 170M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+110K shares
1 year+0.8%+1.4M shares
3 years+0.1%+168K shares
5 years+2%+3.3M shares
Available history+2.1%+3.5M shares

SHLS has 170M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

SHLS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20262.5xModerate
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20251.8xHealthy
Q2 20252.4xModerate
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

SHLS's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

SHLS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.8Neutral
Stochastic51.0Neutral

SHLS's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

SHLS PE vs Energy Sector

MetricSHLSSector medianRelative
PE35x13x167% above
PE %385315 pts below

SHLS is trading at 35x earnings, a 167% premium to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

SHLS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.080.1% below
20 week MA$8.333.1% below
50 week MA$8.575.8% below
100 week MA$7.1313% above
200 week MA$10.926% below

SHLS's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 26% below its 200-week average.

SHLS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$33.9$26.1-23%
2022$26.1$25.0-4.1%
2023$25.0$15.5-38%
2024$15.5$5.64-64%
2025$5.64$9.21+63%
2026 YTD$9.21$8.07-12%

SHLS has finished lower in four of the last five years. It's down 12% so far in 2026.

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