SHAK

Shake Shack Inc.

71
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

SHAK has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SHAK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

SHAK's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

SHAK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE639x1278x1917x2556x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE639x1278x1917x2556x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current71x$72.68—
Cheap75x$77.60+6.8%
Fair153x$158+117%
Expensive505x$520+616%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SHAK has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

SHAK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SHAK to show an outlook.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SHAK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$106.16
Downside-23%$56.06

Calculated from the latest close: $72.68 on Nov 12.

SHAK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails SHAK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SHAK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.57Q2 2024: $0.64Q3 2024: $0.19Q4 2024: $0.24Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.47Q3 2025: $1.03Q4 2025: $1.09Q2 2026: $0.98Q3 2026: $0.94Q3 2026: $1.03
Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.57Q2 2024: $0.64Q3 2024: $0.19Q4 2024: $0.24Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.47Q3 2025: $1.03Q4 2025: $1.09Q2 2026: $0.98Q3 2026: $0.94Q3 2026: $1.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$1.030%
Q2 2026$0.94+100%
Q1 2026$0.98+238%
Q4 2025$1.09+354%
Q3 2025$1.03+442%
Q2 2025$0.47-27%
Q1 2025$0.29-49%
Q4 2024$0.24-50%

SHAK has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

SHAK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $286MQ1 2024: $291MQ2 2024: $316MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $329MQ1 2025: $321MQ2 2025: $356MQ3 2025: $367MQ4 2025: $401MQ2 2026: $367MQ3 2026: $418MQ3 2026: $423M
Q4 2023: $286MQ1 2024: $291MQ2 2024: $316MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $329MQ1 2025: $321MQ2 2025: $356MQ3 2025: $367MQ4 2025: $401MQ2 2026: $367MQ3 2026: $418MQ3 2026: $423M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$423.3M+15%
Q2 2026$417.6M+17%
Q1 2026$366.7M+14%
Q4 2025$400.5M+22%
Q3 2025$367.4M+16%
Q2 2025$356.5M+13%
Q1 2025$320.9M+10%
Q4 2024$328.7M+15%

SHAK has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

SHAK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $4MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: −$736,000Q3 2026: $13M
Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $4MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: −$736,000Q3 2026: $13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$13.1M-45%
Q2 2026-$736K-103%
Q1 2026-$38.7M-2170%
Q4 2025$4M-62%
Q3 2025$23.7M+237%
Q2 2025$26.9M+31%
Q1 2025$1.9M+$4.3M
Q4 2024$10.4M+23%

SHAK's free cash flow was −$22M over the past year, against $63M the year before.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA has the edge over SHAK on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SHAK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+44K shares
1 year+0.1%+36K shares
3 years-4.7%-2.1M shares
5 years+7.1%+2.8M shares
Available history+30%+9.7M shares

SHAK has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

SHAK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

SHAK has more cash than debt.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over SHAK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SHAK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.1Neutral
Stochastic75.5Neutral

SHAK's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

SHAK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSHAKSector medianRelative
PE71x18x292% above
PE %114736 pts below

SHAK has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

SHAK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.79% above
20 week MA$65.311% above
50 week MA$75.94.3% below
100 week MA$92.021% below
200 week MA$86.916% below

SHAK has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 16% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over SHAK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SHAK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.5$87.8+45%
2021$87.8$74.5-15%
2022$74.5$44.9-40%
2023$44.9$74.1+65%
2024$74.1$132.6+79%
2025$132.6$83.8-37%
2026 YTD$83.8$72.7-13%

SHAK has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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