SGRY

Surgery Partners, Inc.

47
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

SGRY trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over SGRY overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

SGRY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

SGRY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

SGRY PE Valuation

SGRY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SGRY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SGRY's revenue and profitability to decline, with its earnings holding steady.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

UNH has the edge over SGRY on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

SGRY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$39.14
Downside-32%$18.00

Calculated from the latest close: $26.58 on Nov 12.

SGRY trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SGRY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SGRY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.09Q1 2024: $0.01Q2 2024: $-0.26Q3 2024: $-0.47Q4 2024: $-1.33Q1 2025: $-1.53Q2 2025: $-1.43Q3 2025: $-1.36Q4 2025: $-0.61Q1 2026: $-0.59Q2 2026: $-0.69Q3 2026: $-0.67Forward: $0.35
Q4 2023: $-0.09Q1 2024: $0.01Q2 2024: $-0.26Q3 2024: $-0.47Q4 2024: $-1.33Q1 2025: $-1.53Q2 2025: $-1.43Q3 2025: $-1.36Q4 2025: $-0.61Q1 2026: $-0.59Q2 2026: $-0.69Q3 2026: $-0.67Forward: $0.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.35—
Q3 2026-$0.67+$0.69
Q2 2026-$0.69+$0.74
Q1 2026-$0.59+$0.94
Q4 2025-$0.61+$0.72
Q3 2025-$1.36-$0.89
Q2 2025-$1.43-$1.17
Q1 2025-$1.53-15400%
Q4 2024-$1.33-$1.24

SGRY is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.67 per share over the past year, against $3.67 at its worst in late 2020.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH has the edge over SGRY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SGRY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $735MQ1 2024: $717MQ2 2024: $762MQ3 2024: $770MQ4 2024: $864MQ1 2025: $776MQ2 2025: $826MQ3 2025: $822MQ4 2025: $885MQ1 2026: $811MQ2 2026: $849MQ3 2026: $815M
Q4 2023: $735MQ1 2024: $717MQ2 2024: $762MQ3 2024: $770MQ4 2024: $864MQ1 2025: $776MQ2 2025: $826MQ3 2025: $822MQ4 2025: $885MQ1 2026: $811MQ2 2026: $849MQ3 2026: $815M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$815.3M-0.8%
Q2 2026$848.9M+2.7%
Q1 2026$810.9M+4.5%
Q4 2025$885M+2.4%
Q3 2025$821.5M+6.6%
Q2 2025$826.2M+8.4%
Q1 2025$776M+8.2%
Q4 2024$864.4M+18%

SGRY's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $815M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over SGRY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SGRY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $91MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $38MQ3 2026: $79M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $91MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $38MQ3 2026: $79M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$79M+24%
Q2 2026$37.5M-35%
Q1 2026-$4.3M+$12.4M
Q4 2025$90.6M+1.7%
Q3 2025$63.8M+42%
Q2 2025$57.9M+3.6%
Q1 2025-$16.7M-185%
Q4 2024$89.1M+108%

SGRY has the edge over UNH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

SGRY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 126MQ1 2024: 126MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 127MQ2 2025: 127MQ3 2025: 127MQ4 2025: 127MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 129M
Q4 2023: 126MQ1 2024: 126MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 127MQ2 2025: 127MQ3 2025: 127MQ4 2025: 127MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 129M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+40K shares
1 year+1.3%+1.7M shares
3 years+2.5%+3.1M shares
5 years+86%+59.6M shares
Available history+167%+80.6M shares

SGRY has 129M diluted shares, up 1.3% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over SGRY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SGRY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 6.2xQ3 2024: 6.3xQ4 2024: 6.2xQ1 2025: 6.8xQ2 2025: 6.4xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 6.1xQ1 2026: 6.2xQ2 2026: 6.3xQ3 2026: 5.0x
Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 6.2xQ3 2024: 6.3xQ4 2024: 6.2xQ1 2025: 6.8xQ2 2025: 6.4xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 6.1xQ1 2026: 6.2xQ2 2026: 6.3xQ3 2026: 5.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.0xHigh
Q2 20266.3xHigh
Q1 20266.2xHigh
Q4 20256.1xHigh
Q3 20256.0xHigh
Q2 20256.4xHigh
Q1 20256.8xHigh
Q4 20246.2xHigh

SGRY's net debt is about 5.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.0 years a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH has the edge over SGRY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SGRY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI79.5Overbought
Stochastic97.4Overbought

SGRY's weekly RSI is 79 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 97 (overbought).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

SGRY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricSGRYSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

SGRY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

SGRY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.147% above
20 week MA$16.363% above
50 week MA$15.275% above
100 week MA$18.643% above
200 week MA$25.06.5% above

SGRY has the edge over UNH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

SGRY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.5$27.8+79%
2021$27.8$53.5+92%
2022$53.5$26.7-50%
2023$26.7$32.0+20%
2024$32.0$20.9-35%
2025$20.9$15.9-24%
2026 YTD$15.9$26.6+67%

SGRY has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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