SGHC

Super Group (SGHC) Limited

72
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

SGHC has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SGHC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Strong

SGHC's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

SGHC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE138x277x415x553x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE138x277x415x553x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.6x$4.10-64%
Forward13x$11.42—
Current16x$11.42—
Fair23x$16.77+47%
Expensive52x$37.98+233%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SGHC has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

SGHC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

SGHC has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SGHC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$17.84
Downside-16%$9.58

Calculated from the latest close: $11.42 on Nov 12.

SGHC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails SGHC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SGHC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.10Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $0.08Q2 2024: $0.02Q3 2024: $0.02Q4 2024: $0.26Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.28Q3 2025: $0.46Q4 2025: $0.44Q1 2026: $0.48Q2 2026: $0.73Forward: $0.87
Q3 2023: $0.10Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $0.08Q2 2024: $0.02Q3 2024: $0.02Q4 2024: $0.26Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.28Q3 2025: $0.46Q4 2025: $0.44Q1 2026: $0.48Q2 2026: $0.73Forward: $0.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.87+19%
Q2 2026$0.73+161%
Q1 2026$0.48+66%
Q4 2025$0.44+69%
Q3 2025$0.46+2200%
Q2 2025$0.28+1300%
Q1 2025$0.29+262%
Q4 2024$0.26+$0.28
Q3 2024$0.02-80%

SGHC has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

SGHC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $396MQ4 2023: $400MQ1 2024: $458MQ2 2024: $461MQ3 2024: $500MQ4 2024: $477MQ1 2025: $567MQ2 2025: $682MQ3 2025: $556MQ4 2025: $578MQ1 2026: $612MQ2 2026: $684M
Q3 2023: $396MQ4 2023: $400MQ1 2024: $458MQ2 2024: $461MQ3 2024: $500MQ4 2024: $477MQ1 2025: $567MQ2 2025: $682MQ3 2025: $556MQ4 2025: $578MQ1 2026: $612MQ2 2026: $684M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$684M+0.3%
Q1 2026$612M+8%
Q4 2025$578M+21%
Q3 2025$555.7M+11%
Q2 2025$681.7M+48%
Q1 2025$566.8M+24%
Q4 2024$476.5M+19%
Q3 2024$499.8M+26%

SGHC has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

SGHC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $241MQ2 2025: −$122MQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $164M
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $241MQ2 2025: −$122MQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $164M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$164M+$286.3M
Q1 2026$89M-63%
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$122.3M-$122.3M
Q1 2025$241M+$241M
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

SGHC generated $253M in free cash flow over the past year, up 113% from the year before.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA has the edge over SGHC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SGHC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 500MQ4 2023: 498MQ1 2024: 502MQ2 2024: 501MQ3 2024: 503MQ4 2024: 503MQ1 2025: 505MQ2 2025: 501MQ3 2025: 508MQ4 2025: 506MQ1 2026: 508MQ2 2026: 511M
Q3 2023: 500MQ4 2023: 498MQ1 2024: 502MQ2 2024: 501MQ3 2024: 503MQ4 2024: 503MQ1 2025: 505MQ2 2025: 501MQ3 2025: 508MQ4 2025: 506MQ1 2026: 508MQ2 2026: 511M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+2.8M shares
1 year+1.9%+9.3M shares
3 years+2.2%+11.2M shares
5 years+4.6%+22.4M shares

SGHC has 511M diluted shares, up 1.9% from a year ago.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over SGHC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SGHC Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.7xQ4 2023: -2.7xQ1 2024: -1.9xQ2 2024: -2.1xQ3 2024: -1.8xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.7x
Q3 2023: -1.7xQ4 2023: -2.7xQ1 2024: -1.9xQ2 2024: -2.1xQ3 2024: -1.8xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.8xNet Cash

SGHC has more cash than debt.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over SGHC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SGHC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic19.2Oversold

SGHC's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

SGHC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSGHCSector medianRelative
PE16x18x13% below
PE %344915 pts below

SGHC has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

SGHC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.21.6% above
20 week MA$12.811% below
50 week MA$12.04.6% below
100 week MA$10.86.1% above
200 week MA$7.1959% above

SGHC's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 59% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over SGHC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SGHC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.73$10.2+4.6%
2021$10.2$9.96-2.2%
2022$9.96$2.96-70%
2023$2.96$3.17+7.1%
2024$3.17$6.10+92%
2025$6.10$11.9+95%
2026 YTD$11.9$11.4-4.2%

SGHC has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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