SERA

Sera Prognostics, Inc.

52
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

SERA lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now.

SERA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

SERA's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SERA PE Valuation

SERA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SERA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SERA's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SERA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$3.06
Downside-35%$1.29

Calculated from the latest close: $1.98 on Nov 12.

SERA's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +55% against −35%.

SERA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.16Q1 2024: $-1.07Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-0.99Q4 2024: $-0.99Q1 2025: $-0.94Q2 2025: $-0.85Q3 2025: $-0.77Q4 2025: $-0.67Q1 2026: $-0.64Q2 2026: $-0.66Q3 2026: $-0.66
Q4 2023: $-1.16Q1 2024: $-1.07Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-0.99Q4 2024: $-0.99Q1 2025: $-0.94Q2 2025: $-0.85Q3 2025: $-0.77Q4 2025: $-0.67Q1 2026: $-0.64Q2 2026: $-0.66Q3 2026: $-0.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.66+$0.11
Q2 2026-$0.66+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.64+$0.30
Q4 2025-$0.67+$0.32
Q3 2025-$0.77+$0.22
Q2 2025-$0.85+$0.13
Q1 2025-$0.94+$0.13
Q4 2024-$0.99+$0.17

SERA is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.66 per share over the past year, against $1.43 at its worst in late 2022.

SERA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $41,000Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $24,000Q3 2024: $29,000Q4 2024: $24,000Q1 2025: $38,000Q2 2025: $17,000Q3 2025: $16,000Q4 2025: $10,000Q1 2026: $14,000Q2 2026: $30,000Q3 2026: $42,000
Q4 2023: $41,000Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $24,000Q3 2024: $29,000Q4 2024: $24,000Q1 2025: $38,000Q2 2025: $17,000Q3 2025: $16,000Q4 2025: $10,000Q1 2026: $14,000Q2 2026: $30,000Q3 2026: $42,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42K+163%
Q2 2026$30K+76%
Q1 2026$14K-63%
Q4 2025$10K-58%
Q3 2025$16K-45%
Q2 2025$17K-29%
Q4 2024$24K-41%
Q3 2024$29K-31%

SERA's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $42,000 last quarter, up 163% from the same quarter a year ago.

SERA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$7MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: −$7MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: −$9MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: −$7MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: −$7MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: −$9MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.4M-$843K
Q2 2026-$6.3M-$573K
Q1 2026-$8.8M-$1.2M
Q4 2025-$6.5M-$182K
Q3 2025-$6.6M+$432K
Q2 2025-$5.8M+$181K
Q1 2025-$7.6M-252%
Q4 2024-$6.3M+$513K

SERA has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$29M over the past year, against −$26M the year before.

SERA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 49MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 49MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+313K shares
1 year+2.6%+1.3M shares
3 years+62%+19.5M shares
5 years+66%+20.3M shares
Available history+180%+32.7M shares

SERA has 51M diluted shares, up 2.6% from a year ago.

SERA Net Leverage

SERA's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SERA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.5Neutral
Stochastic57.3Neutral

SERA's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

SERA PE vs Healthcare Sector

SERA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SERA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.063.9% below
20 week MA$2.053.4% below
50 week MA$2.2914% below
100 week MA$2.9733% below
200 week MA$4.1953% below

SERA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 53% below its 200-week average.

SERA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$11.0$8.00-27%
2022$8.00$1.60-80%
2023$1.60$5.98+274%
2024$5.98$8.00+34%
2025$8.00$3.52-56%
2026 YTD$3.52$1.98-44%

SERA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +274% in 2023 to −80% in 2022. It's down 44% so far in 2026.

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