SDHC

Smith Douglas Homes Corp.

37
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

SDHC's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 16x earnings, above its usual 13x. Analysts expect earnings to fall sharply.

SDHC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
N/A
N/A

SDHC's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like SDHC.

SDHC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$5.96-34%
Fair13x$7.27-20%
Expensive16x$8.58-5.2%
Current16x$9.05—
Forward59x$9.05—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SDHC's PE is in its expensive range at 16x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 59x next year's earnings.

SDHC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SDHC's revenue to grow, but its earnings to decline.

SDHC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$12.74
Downside-29%$6.43

Calculated from the latest close: $9.05 on Nov 12.

SDHC's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +41% against −29%.

SDHC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.40Q1 2025: $1.78Q2 2025: $1.64Q3 2025: $1.30Q4 2025: $1.19Q1 2026: $0.95Q2 2026: $0.72Q3 2026: $0.55Forward: $0.15
Q4 2023: $2.40Q1 2025: $1.78Q2 2025: $1.64Q3 2025: $1.30Q4 2025: $1.19Q1 2026: $0.95Q2 2026: $0.72Q3 2026: $0.55Forward: $0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.15-72%
Q3 2026$0.55-58%
Q2 2026$0.72-56%
Q1 2026$0.95-47%
Q4 2023$2.40-27%

SDHC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.55 over the past year, against $3.27 in late 2022.

SDHC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $217MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $221MQ3 2024: $278MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $225MQ2 2025: $224MQ3 2025: $262MQ4 2025: $260MQ1 2026: $206MQ2 2026: $273MQ3 2026: $263M
Q4 2023: $217MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $221MQ3 2024: $278MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $225MQ2 2025: $224MQ3 2025: $262MQ4 2025: $260MQ1 2026: $206MQ2 2026: $273MQ3 2026: $263M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$262.5M+0.2%
Q2 2026$273M+22%
Q1 2026$206.4M-8.1%
Q4 2025$260.4M-9.4%
Q3 2025$262M-5.7%
Q2 2025$223.9M+1.4%
Q1 2025$224.7M+19%
Q4 2024$287.5M+32%

SDHC's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $263M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

SDHC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$36MQ2 2025: −$31MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: −$202,000Q2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: −$35M
Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$36MQ2 2025: −$31MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: −$202,000Q2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: −$35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.9M-263%
Q2 2026$3.9M+$35M
Q1 2026-$202K+$35.7M
Q4 2025$8.7M+82%
Q3 2025$21.4M-3.8%
Q2 2025-$31.1M-$29M
Q1 2025-$35.9M-$26.2M
Q4 2024$4.8M-77%

SDHC's free cash flow was −$22M over the past year, against −$41M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like SDHC.

SDHC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 52MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 9MQ3 2025: 9MQ4 2025: 9MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
Q4 2023: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 52MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 9MQ3 2025: 9MQ4 2025: 9MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+7K shares
1 year-7.4%-669K shares
3 years-84%-42.9M shares

SDHC has 8M diluted shares, down 7.4% from a year ago.

SDHC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

SDHC has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like SDHC.

SDHC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.0Oversold
Stochastic4.7Oversold

SDHC's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

SDHC PE vs Real Estate Sector

MetricSDHCSector medianRelative
PE16x24x31% below
PE %91784 pts above

SDHC is trading at 16x earnings, a 31% discount to the Real Estate sector's median of 24x.

SDHC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.110% below
20 week MA$12.125% below
50 week MA$14.236% below
100 week MA$17.247% below

SDHC is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 100-week average.

SDHC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$23.9$26.7+12%
2025$26.7$17.6-34%
2026 YTD$17.6$9.05-49%

SDHC has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's down 49% so far in 2026.

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