SCCO

Southern Copper Corporation

68
Fundamentals92/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

SCCO's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 39% and its operating margin rose 8 points to 59%. At 23x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect earnings growth.

SCCO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

SCCO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

SCCO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x48x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x48x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$120-29%
Fair22x$163-3%
Forward22x$168—
Current23x$168—
Expensive32x$236+41%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SCCO's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings.

SCCO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SCCO, with profitability improving.

SCCO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$223.47
Downside-19%$136.01

Calculated from the latest close: $168.21 on Nov 12.

SCCO's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +33% against −19%.

SCCO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.04Q1 2024: $2.94Q2 2024: $3.45Q3 2024: $3.80Q4 2024: $4.23Q1 2025: $4.48Q2 2025: $4.47Q3 2025: $4.66Q4 2025: $5.12Q1 2026: $5.84Q2 2026: $6.62Q3 2026: $7.43Forward: $7.76
Q4 2023: $3.04Q1 2024: $2.94Q2 2024: $3.45Q3 2024: $3.80Q4 2024: $4.23Q1 2025: $4.48Q2 2025: $4.47Q3 2025: $4.66Q4 2025: $5.12Q1 2026: $5.84Q2 2026: $6.62Q3 2026: $7.43Forward: $7.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.76+4.5%
Q3 2026$7.43+59%
Q2 2026$6.62+48%
Q1 2026$5.84+30%
Q4 2025$5.12+21%
Q3 2025$4.66+23%
Q2 2025$4.47+30%
Q1 2025$4.48+52%
Q4 2024$4.23+39%

SCCO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.43 over the past year, up 59% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

SCCO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $3.1BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $3.1BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $4.3BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $4.7B
Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $3.1BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $3.1BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $4.3BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $4.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.7B+39%
Q2 2026$4.3B+41%
Q1 2026$4.3B+36%
Q4 2025$3.9B+39%
Q3 2025$3.4B+15%
Q2 2025$3.1B-2.2%
Q1 2025$3.1B+20%
Q4 2024$2.8B+21%

SCCO's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $4.7B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

SCCO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $286MQ1 2024: $446MQ2 2024: $630MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $404MQ2 2025: $741MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $286MQ1 2024: $446MQ2 2024: $630MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $404MQ2 2025: $741MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+41%
Q2 2026$1.6B+111%
Q1 2026$1.3B+210%
Q4 2025$1.1B-4.8%
Q3 2025$1.2B+1.5%
Q2 2025$741.1M+18%
Q1 2025$403.6M-9.5%
Q4 2024$1.1B+294%

SCCO's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $5.6B over the past year, up 61% from the year before.

SCCO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 799MQ1 2024: 799MQ2 2024: 796MQ3 2024: 801MQ4 2024: 798MQ1 2025: 811MQ2 2025: 826MQ3 2025: 841MQ4 2025: 845MQ1 2026: 840MQ2 2026: 848MQ3 2026: 847M
Q4 2023: 799MQ1 2024: 799MQ2 2024: 796MQ3 2024: 801MQ4 2024: 798MQ1 2025: 811MQ2 2025: 826MQ3 2025: 841MQ4 2025: 845MQ1 2026: 840MQ2 2026: 848MQ3 2026: 847M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-959K shares
1 year+0.7%+5.6M shares
3 years+6%+48.1M shares
5 years+6%+48.1M shares
Available history+6%+48.1M shares

SCCO has 847M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

SCCO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

SCCO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SCCO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic12.1Oversold

SCCO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

SCCO PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricSCCOSector medianRelative
PE23x19x22% above
PE %554015 pts above

SCCO is trading at 23x earnings, a 22% premium to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

SCCO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$188.111% below
20 week MA$187.610% below
50 week MA$179.06% below
100 week MA$138.821% above
200 week MA$111.351% above

SCCO has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 51% above its 200-week average.

SCCO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$39.6$59.7+51%
2021$59.7$56.0-6.1%
2022$56.0$56.8+1.4%
2023$56.8$80.1+41%
2024$80.1$88.7+11%
2025$88.7$146.2+65%
2026 YTD$146.2$168.2+15%

SCCO has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

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