SBS

Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP

38
Fundamentals18/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

SBS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SMR

NuScale Power Corporation

39
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SMR has a slight edge over SBS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

SBS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Weak
Under pressure

SBS's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

SMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SMR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SBS PE Valuation

SBS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SMR PE Valuation

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SBS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SBS, but weaker profitability.

SMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect SMR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

SBS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$7.14
Downside-32%$3.31

Calculated from the latest close: $4.84 on Nov 12.

SBS trails SMR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$8.20
Downside-40%$2.88

Calculated from the latest close: $4.82 on Nov 12.

SMR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SBS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SBS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.16Q4 2023: $0.19Q1 2024: $0.19Q2 2024: $0.21Q3 2024: $0.49Q4 2024: $0.54Q1 2025: $0.58Q2 2025: $0.63Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.43Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.41
Q3 2023: $0.16Q4 2023: $0.19Q1 2024: $0.19Q2 2024: $0.21Q3 2024: $0.49Q4 2024: $0.54Q1 2025: $0.58Q2 2025: $0.63Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.43Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.41-35%
Q1 2026$0.44-24%
Q4 2025$0.43-20%
Q3 2025$0.42-14%
Q2 2025$0.63+200%
Q1 2025$0.58+205%
Q4 2024$0.54+184%
Q3 2024$0.49+206%

SBS has the edge over SMR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.72+$2.14
Q2 2026-$2.46-$1.27
Q1 2026-$2.46-$1.09
Q4 2025-$2.43-$0.96
Q3 2025-$2.86-$1.91
Q2 2025-$1.19-$0.16
Q1 2025-$1.37-$0.52
Q4 2024-$1.47-$0.67

SMR is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.72 per share over the past year, against $2.86 at its worst in late 2025.

SBS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.2BQ4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9B
Q3 2023: $1.2BQ4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.9B+16%
Q1 2026$1.8B+16%
Q4 2025$1.9B-27%
Q3 2025$1.7B-37%
Q2 2025$1.6B+33%
Q1 2025$1.5B+28%
Q4 2024$2.6B+98%
Q3 2024$2.7B+132%

SBS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $1.9B last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$281K-97%
Q2 2026$75K-99%
Q1 2026$565K-96%
Q4 2025$1.8M-95%
Q3 2025$8.2M+1635%
Q2 2025$8.1M+733%
Q1 2025$13.4M+870%
Q4 2024$34.2M+651%

SMR's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $281,000 last quarter, down 97% from the same quarter a year ago.

SBS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $284MQ4 2023: $322MQ1 2024: $247MQ2 2024: $320MQ3 2024: $276MQ4 2024: $470MQ1 2025: $186MQ2 2025: $580MQ3 2025: $568MQ4 2025: −$568MQ1 2026: $129MQ2 2026: −$776M
Q3 2023: $284MQ4 2023: $322MQ1 2024: $247MQ2 2024: $320MQ3 2024: $276MQ4 2024: $470MQ1 2025: $186MQ2 2025: $580MQ3 2025: $568MQ4 2025: −$568MQ1 2026: $129MQ2 2026: −$776M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$775.7M-234%
Q1 2026$129.3M-31%
Q4 2025-$567.8M-221%
Q3 2025$568.1M+106%
Q2 2025$580.3M+81%
Q1 2025$186.2M-25%
Q4 2024$470.2M+46%
Q3 2024$276.4M-2.5%

SMR has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 161% versus its history, compared with SBS at down 174%.

SMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$73MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: −$36MQ3 2024: −$13MQ4 2024: −$26MQ1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: −$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: −$204MQ1 2026: −$316MQ2 2026: −$59MQ3 2026: −$29M
Q4 2023: −$73MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: −$36MQ3 2024: −$13MQ4 2024: −$26MQ1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: −$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: −$204MQ1 2026: −$316MQ2 2026: −$59MQ3 2026: −$29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$58.6M-$25.3M
Q1 2026-$316.2M-$293.3M
Q4 2025-$204.1M-$177.6M
Q2 2025-$33.3M+$2.7M
Q1 2025-$22.9M+$10.6M
Q4 2024-$26.5M+$46.8M
Q3 2024-$12.7M+$15M
Q2 2024-$36M+$4.5M

SMR has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$608M over the past year, against −$95M the year before.

SBS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 3.4BQ4 2023: 3.4BQ1 2024: 3.4BQ2 2024: 3.4BQ3 2024: 3.4BQ4 2024: 3.4BQ1 2025: 3.4BQ2 2025: 3.4BQ3 2025: 3.4BQ4 2025: 3.4BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5B
Q3 2023: 3.4BQ4 2023: 3.4BQ1 2024: 3.4BQ2 2024: 3.4BQ3 2024: 3.4BQ4 2024: 3.4BQ1 2025: 3.4BQ2 2025: 3.4BQ3 2025: 3.4BQ4 2025: 3.4BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+3.1%+106M shares
3 years+3.1%+106M shares
5 years+3%+103M shares
Available history+3.1%+106M shares

SBS has the edge over SMR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+45.9M shares
1 year+178%+263M shares
3 years+448%+336M shares

SMR has 410M diluted shares, up 178% from a year ago.

SBS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.4xQ4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.1x
Q3 2023: 0.4xQ4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20252.0xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy
Q3 20240.2xVery low

SBS's net debt is about 3.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.

SMR Net Leverage

SMR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SBS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.9Neutral
Stochastic14.6Oversold

SBS's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

SMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.5Oversold
Stochastic8.6Oversold

SMR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

SBS PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricSBSSector medianRelative
PEN/A20x—

SBS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SMR PE vs Utilities Sector

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SBS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.5212% below
20 week MA$5.4010% below
50 week MA$5.5312% below
100 week MA$4.781.3% above
200 week MA$3.7529% above

SBS has the edge over SMR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2623% below
20 week MA$7.8839% below
50 week MA$11.458% below
100 week MA$20.276% below
200 week MA$14.467% below

SMR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

SBS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.02$1.79-41%
2021$1.79$1.41-21%
2022$1.41$2.26+60%
2023$2.26$3.05+35%
2024$3.05$2.88-5.6%
2025$2.88$4.90+70%
2026 YTD$4.90$4.84-1.2%

SBS has the edge over SMR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.1$10.3+1.2%
2021$10.3$10.1-1.9%
2022$10.1$10.1+0.5%
2023$10.1$3.29-67%
2024$3.29$19.5+493%
2025$19.5$14.9-24%
2026 YTD$14.9$4.82-68%

SMR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +493% in 2024 to −67% in 2023. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

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