SBGI

Sinclair, Inc.

49
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

SBGI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over SBGI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

SBGI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

SBGI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

SBGI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap0.7x$0.96-93%
Fair7.3x$10.58-27%
Current10x$14.58—
Expensive15x$22.12+52%
Forward37x$14.58—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SBGI's PE is in its fair range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 37x, in its expensive range.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS has the edge over SBGI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SBGI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SBGI to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

TMUS has the edge over SBGI on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

SBGI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$19.88
Downside-27%$10.69

Calculated from the latest close: $14.58 on Nov 12.

SBGI trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SBGI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SBGI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.85Q1 2024: $-7.15Q2 2024: $-5.50Q3 2024: $-3.33Q4 2024: $4.69Q1 2025: $2.04Q2 2025: $0.86Q3 2025: $-0.59Q4 2025: $-1.61Q1 2026: $0.97Q2 2026: $0.82Q3 2026: $1.44Forward: $0.39
Q4 2023: $-4.85Q1 2024: $-7.15Q2 2024: $-5.50Q3 2024: $-3.33Q4 2024: $4.69Q1 2025: $2.04Q2 2025: $0.86Q3 2025: $-0.59Q4 2025: $-1.61Q1 2026: $0.97Q2 2026: $0.82Q3 2026: $1.44Forward: $0.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.39-73%
Q3 2026$1.44+$2.03
Q2 2026$0.82-4.7%
Q1 2026$0.97-52%
Q4 2025-$1.61-134%
Q3 2025-$0.59+$2.74
Q2 2025$0.86+$6.36
Q1 2025$2.04+$9.19
Q4 2024$4.69+$9.54

SBGI has returned to profit: it earned $1.44 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS earned $10.37 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

SBGI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $826MQ1 2024: $798MQ2 2024: $829MQ3 2024: $917MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $776MQ2 2025: $784MQ3 2025: $773MQ4 2025: $836MQ1 2026: $807MQ2 2026: $840MQ3 2026: $893M
Q4 2023: $826MQ1 2024: $798MQ2 2024: $829MQ3 2024: $917MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $776MQ2 2025: $784MQ3 2025: $773MQ4 2025: $836MQ1 2026: $807MQ2 2026: $840MQ3 2026: $893M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$893M+16%
Q2 2026$840M+7.1%
Q1 2026$807M+4%
Q4 2025$836M-17%
Q3 2025$773M-16%
Q2 2025$784M-5.4%
Q1 2025$776M-2.8%
Q4 2024$1B+22%

SBGI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2019 peak: $893M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over SBGI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SBGI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: −$329MQ3 2024: $193MQ4 2024: $175MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: $105MQ3 2025: −$58MQ4 2025: $79MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $46MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: −$329MQ3 2024: $193MQ4 2024: $175MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: $105MQ3 2025: −$58MQ4 2025: $79MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $46MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$109M+$167M
Q2 2026$46M-56%
Q1 2026$28M+$39M
Q4 2025$79M-55%
Q3 2025-$58M-130%
Q2 2025$105M+$434M
Q1 2025-$11M+$14M
Q4 2024$175M+150%

SBGI still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $262M over the past year.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over SBGI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SBGI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 72M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 72M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+305K shares
1 year+4%+2.8M shares
3 years+14%+9.1M shares
5 years-4%-3.1M shares
Available history-22%-20.5M shares

SBGI has 72M diluted shares, up 4% from a year ago.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over SBGI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SBGI Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 235.3xQ3 2024: 23.2xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 5.9xQ4 2025: 8.3xQ1 2026: 8.1xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 6.1x
Q2 2024: 235.3xQ3 2024: 23.2xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 5.9xQ4 2025: 8.3xQ1 2026: 8.1xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 6.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.1xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.1xHigh
Q4 20258.3xHigh
Q3 20255.9xHigh
Q2 20254.8xHigh
Q1 20254.6xHigh
Q4 20244.3xHigh

SBGI's net debt is about 6.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS has the edge over SBGI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SBGI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.7Neutral
Stochastic43.1Neutral

SBGI's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

SBGI PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricSBGISector medianRelative
PE10x16x39% below
PE %542628 pts above

SBGI has the edge over TMUS on valuation relative to its sector.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

SBGI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.012% above
20 week MA$13.76.7% above
50 week MA$14.22.4% above
100 week MA$14.41.1% above
200 week MA$14.50.6% above

SBGI has the edge over TMUS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.4% below its 200-week average.

SBGI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.7$31.3-7.2%
2021$31.3$26.6-15%
2022$26.6$15.3-42%
2023$15.3$13.0-15%
2024$13.0$15.8+21%
2025$15.8$15.3-3.5%
2026 YTD$15.3$14.6-4.5%

SBGI has the edge over TMUS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

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