SAN

Banco Santander, S.A.

58
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

SAN has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over SAN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

SAN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SAN's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SAN.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

SAN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.9x10x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.9x10x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.8x$6.79-44%
Fair6.9x$8.02-34%
Expensive11x$12.46+2.7%
Current11x$12.13—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SAN's PE is 11x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over SAN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SAN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SAN, with profitability improving.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.

SAN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$15.12
Downside-19%$9.77

Calculated from the latest close: $12.13 on Nov 12.

SAN trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SAN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SAN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.73Q1 2024: $0.76Q2 2024: $0.80Q3 2024: $0.82Q4 2024: $0.86Q1 2025: $0.90Q2 2025: $0.92Q3 2025: $0.91Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.14Q3 2026: $1.16
Q4 2023: $0.73Q1 2024: $0.76Q2 2024: $0.80Q3 2024: $0.82Q4 2024: $0.86Q1 2025: $0.90Q2 2025: $0.92Q3 2025: $0.91Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.14Q3 2026: $1.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$1.16+27%
Q2 2026$1.14+24%
Q1 2026$1.12+24%
Q4 2025$0.96+12%
Q3 2025$0.91+11%
Q2 2025$0.92+15%
Q1 2025$0.90+18%
Q4 2024$0.86+18%

SAN has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

SAN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $16BQ1 2024: $37.5BQ2 2024: $17.2BQ3 2024: $16.6BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $35.1BQ2 2025: $15.9BQ3 2025: $13.4BQ4 2025: $16.6BQ1 2026: $33BQ2 2026: $37.2BQ3 2026: $36.4B
Q4 2023: $16BQ1 2024: $37.5BQ2 2024: $17.2BQ3 2024: $16.6BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $35.1BQ2 2025: $15.9BQ3 2025: $13.4BQ4 2025: $16.6BQ1 2026: $33BQ2 2026: $37.2BQ3 2026: $36.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$36.4B+170%
Q2 2026$37.2B+134%
Q1 2026$33B-6%
Q4 2025$16.6B-5.3%
Q3 2025$13.4B-19%
Q2 2025$15.9B-7.5%
Q1 2025$35.1B-6.4%
Q4 2024$17.6B+9.8%

SAN's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $36.4B last quarter, up 170% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over SAN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SAN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: −$55BQ2 2024: −$17.1BQ3 2024: $12.9BQ4 2024: $23BQ1 2025: −$22.3BQ2 2025: $21.6BQ3 2025: −$11.1BQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: −$21.9BQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: −$55BQ2 2024: −$17.1BQ3 2024: $12.9BQ4 2024: $23BQ1 2025: −$22.3BQ2 2025: $21.6BQ3 2025: −$11.1BQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: −$21.9BQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2026-$21.9B+$416.6M
Q4 2025$0-100%
Q3 2025-$11.1B-186%
Q2 2025$21.6B+$38.8B
Q1 2025-$22.3B+$32.7B
Q4 2024$23B+370%
Q3 2024$12.9B+101%
Q2 2024-$17.1B-1043%

SOFI has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 107% versus its history, compared with SAN at down 186%.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

SAN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17.3BQ1 2024: 16.8BQ2 2024: 16BQ3 2024: 16.3BQ4 2024: 16.3BQ1 2025: 16.2BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15.9BQ4 2025: 15.7BQ1 2026: 15.2BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 16.9B
Q4 2023: 17.3BQ1 2024: 16.8BQ2 2024: 16BQ3 2024: 16.3BQ4 2024: 16.3BQ1 2025: 16.2BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15.9BQ4 2025: 15.7BQ1 2026: 15.2BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 16.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+15%+2.2B shares
1 year+6.2%+990M shares
3 years+6.1%+977M shares
5 years-9.7%-1.8B shares
Available history-6.8%-1.2B shares

SAN has 16.9B diluted shares, up 6.2% from a year ago.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has the edge over SAN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SAN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 11.9xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 14.6xQ1 2026: 13.8xQ2 2026: 14.8xQ3 2026: 15.4x
Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 11.9xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 14.6xQ1 2026: 13.8xQ2 2026: 14.8xQ3 2026: 15.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202615.4xHigh
Q2 202614.8xHigh
Q1 202613.8xHigh
Q4 202514.6xHigh
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 202411.9xHigh

SAN's net debt is about 15 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SAN.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over SAN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SAN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic14.4Oversold

SAN's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

SAN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSANSector medianRelative
PE11x13x19% below
PE %816318 pts above

SAN has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SAN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.85.3% below
20 week MA$13.712% below
50 week MA$12.74.5% below
100 week MA$10.318% above
200 week MA$7.2567% above

SAN has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

SAN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.96$3.19-19%
2021$3.19$3.26+2.2%
2022$3.26$2.94-9.8%
2023$2.94$4.14+41%
2024$4.14$4.49+8.5%
2025$4.49$11.8+163%
2026 YTD$11.8$12.1+2.7%

SAN has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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