RWT

Redwood Trust, Inc.

58
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

RWT lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

RWT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

RWT's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like RWT.

RWT PE Valuation

RWT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RWT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RWT's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RWT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$3.86
Downside-26%$2.11

Calculated from the latest close: $2.85 on Nov 12.

RWT's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +35% against −26%.

RWT Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $0.18Q3 2024: $0.56Q4 2024: $0.32Q1 2025: $0.21Q2 2025: $-0.65Q3 2025: $-0.82Q4 2025: $-0.63Q1 2026: $-0.80Q2 2026: $-0.07Q3 2026: $-0.38Forward: $0.94
Q2 2024: $0.18Q3 2024: $0.56Q4 2024: $0.32Q1 2025: $0.21Q2 2025: $-0.65Q3 2025: $-0.82Q4 2025: $-0.63Q1 2026: $-0.80Q2 2026: $-0.07Q3 2026: $-0.38Forward: $0.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.94—
Q3 2026-$0.38+$0.44
Q2 2026-$0.07+$0.58
Q1 2026-$0.80-481%
Q4 2025-$0.63-297%
Q3 2025-$0.82-246%
Q2 2025-$0.65-461%
Q1 2023-$1.66-188%
Q4 2022-$1.44-161%

RWT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.38 per share over the past year, against $7.29 at its worst in early 2020.

RWT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $64MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $41M
Q4 2023: $64MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $41M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$40.6M+171%
Q2 2026$32.1M+132%
Q1 2026$34.7M+24%
Q4 2025$25.9M-6.1%
Q3 2025$15M-41%
Q2 2025$13.8M-79%
Q1 2025$27.9M-63%
Q4 2024$27.6M-57%

RWT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $41M last quarter, up 171% from the same quarter a year ago.

RWT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.1BQ1 2024: −$954MQ2 2024: −$2BQ3 2024: −$2.1BQ4 2024: −$854MQ1 2025: −$2BQ2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: −$2.7BQ4 2025: −$3.4BQ1 2026: −$4.5BQ2 2026: −$3.7BQ3 2026: −$3.3B
Q4 2023: −$1.1BQ1 2024: −$954MQ2 2024: −$2BQ3 2024: −$2.1BQ4 2024: −$854MQ1 2025: −$2BQ2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: −$2.7BQ4 2025: −$3.4BQ1 2026: −$4.5BQ2 2026: −$3.7BQ3 2026: −$3.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.3B-$642.6M
Q2 2026-$3.7B-$1.6B
Q1 2026-$4.5B-$2.6B
Q4 2025-$3.4B-$2.5B
Q3 2025-$2.7B-$579.8M
Q2 2025-$2.1B-$147.2M
Q1 2025-$2B-$998.3M
Q4 2024-$854M+$294.4M

RWT's free cash flow was −$14.9B over the past year, against −$7.6B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like RWT.

RWT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 116MQ1 2024: 132MQ2 2024: 132MQ3 2024: 132MQ4 2024: 132MQ1 2025: 133MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 130MQ1 2026: 125MQ2 2026: 125MQ3 2026: 124M
Q4 2023: 116MQ1 2024: 132MQ2 2024: 132MQ3 2024: 132MQ4 2024: 132MQ1 2025: 133MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 130MQ1 2026: 125MQ2 2026: 125MQ3 2026: 124M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-1.2M shares
1 year-3.8%-4.9M shares
3 years+7.5%+8.7M shares
5 years-12%-17.6M shares
Available history-9.3%-12.7M shares

RWT has 124M diluted shares, down 3.8% from a year ago, with $47M in buybacks over the past year.

RWT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 207.3xQ1 2024: 65.0xQ2 2024: 194.5xQ3 2024: 118.1xQ4 2024: 153.7xQ1 2025: 187.7xQ2 2026: 797.9x
Q4 2023: 207.3xQ1 2024: 65.0xQ2 2024: 194.5xQ3 2024: 118.1xQ4 2024: 153.7xQ1 2025: 187.7xQ2 2026: 797.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026797.9xHigh
Q1 2025187.7xHigh
Q4 2024153.7xHigh
Q3 2024118.1xHigh
Q2 2024194.5xHigh
Q1 202465.0xHigh
Q4 2023207.3xHigh
Q2 202347.2xHigh

RWT's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from more than 20 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like RWT.

RWT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.9Oversold
Stochastic12.9Oversold

RWT's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

RWT PE vs Real Estate Sector

MetricRWTSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

RWT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RWT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.2211% below
20 week MA$4.0429% below
50 week MA$5.0043% below
100 week MA$5.4748% below
200 week MA$6.2054% below

RWT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 54% below its 200-week average.

RWT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.7$8.90-47%
2021$8.90$13.2+49%
2022$13.2$6.95-48%
2023$6.95$7.41+6.6%
2024$7.41$6.57-11%
2025$6.57$5.53-16%
2026 YTD$5.53$2.85-48%

RWT has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 48% so far in 2026.

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