RRR
Red Rock Resorts, Inc.
RRR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has the edge over RRR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
RRR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
RRR's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
RRR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $23.83 | -52% |
| Fair | 18x | $35.23 | -28% |
| Forward | 19x | $49.19 | — |
| Expensive | 21x | $40.91 | -17% |
| Current | 25x | $49.19 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RRR has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
RRR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RRR, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RRR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.63 | +34% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.97 | -38% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.82 | -4.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.10 | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.12 | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.16 | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.96 | +5.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.60 | -9.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.53 | -14% |
RRR has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
RRR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $488.7M | +2.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $510.3M | -3% |
| Q1 2026 | $507.3M | +1.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $511.8M | +3.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $475.6M | +1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $526.3M | +8.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $497.9M | +1.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $495.7M | +7.1% |
RRR has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.5% | -22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 27% | -5.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 28% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | +3.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 29% | -8.4 points |
RRR has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
RRR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$67.7M | -191% |
| Q2 2026 | $18.2M | -77% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.6M | -61% |
| Q4 2025 | $77.7M | -36% |
| Q3 2025 | $74.6M | +47% |
| Q2 2025 | $80.3M | +25% |
| Q1 2025 | $58M | +104% |
| Q4 2024 | $121.4M | +$149.4M |
RRR has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
RRR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -740K shares |
| 1 year | -43% | -44.6M shares |
| 3 years | -44% | -45.1M shares |
| 5 years | -50% | -58.4M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -11.5M shares |
RRR has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26.7M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $38.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $48.2M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
RRR spent $113M buying back its own shares over the past year.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
RRR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.3x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.5x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.3x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3x | High |
RRR's net debt is about 5.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.1 years a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over RRR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
RRR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.4 | Oversold |
RRR's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
RRR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | RRR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 18x | 39% above |
| PE % | 90 | 47 | 43 pts above |
RRR has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RRR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $49.5 | 0.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $56.3 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $58.1 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $54.8 | 10% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.3 | 6% below |
RRR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over RRR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RRR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $24.0 | $25.5 | +6.4% |
| 2021 | $25.5 | $52.7 | +106% |
| 2022 | $52.7 | $40.1 | -24% |
| 2023 | $40.1 | $53.3 | +33% |
| 2024 | $53.3 | $46.2 | -13% |
| 2025 | $46.2 | $62.7 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $62.7 | $49.2 | -22% |
RRR has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 22% so far in 2026.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA has the edge over RRR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.