RRGB
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.
RRGB has a slight edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RRGB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure |
RRGB's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
RRGB PE Valuation
RRGB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
RRGB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect RRGB's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RRGB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$1.69 | +$1.74 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.50 | +$2.75 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.31 | +$3.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.26 | +$0.03 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.43 | -$0.82 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.25 | -$2.49 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.93 | -$3.59 |
| Q3 2024 | -$3.29 | -$0.03 |
RRGB is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.69 per share over the past year, against $19.29 at its worst in late 2020.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA has the edge over RRGB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RRGB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $277.6M | -2.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $378.3M | -3.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $269M | -5.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $265.1M | -3.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $283.7M | -5.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $392.4M | +1% |
| Q4 2024 | $285.2M | -7.7% |
| Q3 2024 | $274.6M | -1.1% |
RRGB's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $278M last quarter, down 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.3% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.5% | +10 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4.6% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.5% | +5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -12% | -9.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | -4.7% | -4 points |
RRGB's operating margin was 2.3% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA has the edge over RRGB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA has the edge over RRGB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RRGB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.7M | -20% |
| Q2 2026 | $268K | -96% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.3M | +$6.7M |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.1M | +$7.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $3.4M | +$8.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $7.6M | +39% |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4M | +$29.5M |
| Q3 2024 | -$18M | -$5.8M |
RRGB's free cash flow was −$2M over the past year, against −$8M the year before.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA has the edge over RRGB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RRGB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +21% | +3.8M shares |
| 1 year | +16% | +2.9M shares |
| 3 years | +34% | +5.6M shares |
| 5 years | +40% | +6.2M shares |
| Available history | +69% | +8.9M shares |
RRGB has 22M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | $5M |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has the edge over RRGB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RRGB Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 6.0x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 10.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 32.5x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 5.1x | High |
RRGB's net debt is about 3.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.4 years a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over RRGB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
RRGB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.4 | Neutral |
RRGB's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
RRGB PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RRGB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RRGB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.42 | 4.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.23 | 7.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $5.78 | 53% above |
| 100 week MA | $5.49 | 61% above |
| 200 week MA | $7.27 | 21% above |
RRGB has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 21% above its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.
RRGB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $31.0 | $20.1 | -35% |
| 2021 | $20.1 | $17.2 | -15% |
| 2022 | $17.2 | $5.70 | -67% |
| 2023 | $5.70 | $12.5 | +119% |
| 2024 | $12.5 | $5.39 | -57% |
| 2025 | $5.39 | $4.31 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.31 | $8.83 | +105% |
RRGB has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.