RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

XMTR

Xometry, Inc.

70
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

XMTR has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

XMTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

XMTR's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

XMTR PE Valuation

XMTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

XMTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for XMTR, with profitability improving.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than XMTR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

XMTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$213.92
Downside-42%$69.97

Calculated from the latest close: $120.78 on Nov 12.

XMTR trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

XMTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.41Q1 2024: $-1.37Q2 2024: $-1.10Q3 2024: $-1.06Q4 2024: $-1.03Q1 2025: $-0.99Q2 2025: $-1.23Q3 2025: $-1.25Q4 2025: $-1.22Q1 2026: $-1.02Q2 2026: $-0.60Q3 2026: $-0.34Forward: $1.28
Q4 2023: $-1.41Q1 2024: $-1.37Q2 2024: $-1.10Q3 2024: $-1.06Q4 2024: $-1.03Q1 2025: $-0.99Q2 2025: $-1.23Q3 2025: $-1.25Q4 2025: $-1.22Q1 2026: $-1.02Q2 2026: $-0.60Q3 2026: $-0.34Forward: $1.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.28—
Q3 2026-$0.34+$0.91
Q2 2026-$0.60+$0.63
Q1 2026-$1.02-$0.03
Q4 2025-$1.22-$0.19
Q3 2025-$1.25-$0.19
Q2 2025-$1.23-$0.13
Q1 2025-$0.99+$0.38
Q4 2024-$1.03+$0.38

XMTR is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.34 per share over the past year, against $2.26 at its worst in late 2021.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over XMTR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

XMTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $128MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $133MQ3 2024: $142MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: $151MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $181MQ4 2025: $192MQ1 2026: $205MQ2 2026: $229MQ3 2026: $252M
Q4 2023: $128MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $133MQ3 2024: $142MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: $151MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $181MQ4 2025: $192MQ1 2026: $205MQ2 2026: $229MQ3 2026: $252M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$252.4M+40%
Q2 2026$229.3M+41%
Q1 2026$205.1M+36%
Q4 2025$192.4M+30%
Q3 2025$180.7M+28%
Q2 2025$162.5M+23%
Q1 2025$151M+23%
Q4 2024$148.5M+16%

XMTR's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $252M last quarter, up 40% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

XMTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$13MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$13MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$7.9M+$9.5M
Q2 2026-$10.8M-$3.4M
Q1 2026$4.4M+$13.6M
Q4 2025-$5.9M-229%
Q3 2025-$1.7M+$6.8M
Q2 2025-$7.4M+$6.1M
Q1 2025-$9.2M+$6.9M
Q4 2024$4.5M+$12.3M

XMTR has the edge over RKLB on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

XMTR Total Shares

Q1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 52MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 60M
Q1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 52MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 60M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+14%+7.4M shares
1 year+19%+9.5M shares
3 years+27%+12.8M shares
5 years+36%+16.1M shares

XMTR has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

XMTR Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -2.4x
Q3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash

XMTR has more cash than debt.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

XMTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.1Neutral
Stochastic72.5Neutral

XMTR's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

XMTR PE vs Industrials Sector

XMTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

XMTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$102.917% above
20 week MA$96.225% above
50 week MA$75.859% above
100 week MA$57.2111% above
200 week MA$39.0209% above

XMTR has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

XMTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$69.5$50.9-27%
2022$50.9$31.3-39%
2023$31.3$35.9+15%
2024$35.9$44.2+23%
2025$44.2$62.7+42%
2026 YTD$62.7$120.8+93%

XMTR has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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