RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over WNC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

WNC

Wabash National Corporation

49
Fundamentals27/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

WNC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Weak
Healthy

WNC's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WNC PE Valuation

WNC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect WNC's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WNC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$18.23
Downside-35%$7.56

Calculated from the latest close: $11.71 on Nov 12.

WNC trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB has the edge over WNC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WNC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.81Q1 2024: $4.16Q2 2024: $3.26Q3 2024: $-5.43Q4 2024: $-6.52Q1 2025: $-1.55Q2 2025: $-2.42Q3 2025: $6.08Q4 2025: $4.87Q1 2026: $-1.60Q2 2026: $-1.93Q3 2026: $-3.41
Q4 2023: $4.81Q1 2024: $4.16Q2 2024: $3.26Q3 2024: $-5.43Q4 2024: $-6.52Q1 2025: $-1.55Q2 2025: $-2.42Q3 2025: $6.08Q4 2025: $4.87Q1 2026: $-1.60Q2 2026: $-1.93Q3 2026: $-3.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.41-156%
Q2 2026-$1.93+$0.49
Q1 2026-$1.60-$0.05
Q4 2025$4.87+$11.39
Q3 2025$6.08+$11.51
Q2 2025-$2.42-174%
Q1 2025-$1.55-137%
Q4 2024-$6.52-236%

WNC has swung to a loss: it lost $3.41 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over WNC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WNC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $596MQ1 2024: $515MQ2 2024: $551MQ3 2024: $464MQ4 2024: $417MQ1 2025: $381MQ2 2025: $459MQ3 2025: $382MQ4 2025: $321MQ1 2026: $303MQ2 2026: $417MQ3 2026: $476M
Q4 2023: $596MQ1 2024: $515MQ2 2024: $551MQ3 2024: $464MQ4 2024: $417MQ1 2025: $381MQ2 2025: $459MQ3 2025: $382MQ4 2025: $321MQ1 2026: $303MQ2 2026: $417MQ3 2026: $476M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$476.4M+25%
Q2 2026$417.2M-9.1%
Q1 2026$303.2M-20%
Q4 2025$321.5M-23%
Q3 2025$381.6M-18%
Q2 2025$458.8M-17%
Q1 2025$380.9M-26%
Q4 2024$416.8M-30%

WNC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $476M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

WNC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: −$37MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$22MQ3 2025: $80MQ4 2025: −$62MQ1 2026: −$37MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: −$41M
Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: −$37MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$22MQ3 2025: $80MQ4 2025: −$62MQ1 2026: −$37MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: −$41M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$40.8M-151%
Q2 2026$3.1M+$25.1M
Q1 2026-$37.1M-$28.1M
Q4 2025-$61.9M-204%
Q3 2025$79.9M+183%
Q2 2025-$22.1M-$16M
Q1 2025-$9M+$27.6M
Q4 2024$59.5M-42%

WNC's free cash flow was −$137M over the past year, against $108M the year before.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

WNC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+74K shares
1 year-0.4%-179K shares
3 years-14%-6.8M shares
5 years-19%-9.6M shares
Available history-26%-14.3M shares

WNC has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WNC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 1.1x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20251.1xHealthy
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20241.2xHealthy
Q1 20240.9xVery low
Q4 20230.6xVery low
Q3 20230.8xVery low
Q2 20230.9xVery low
Q1 20231.3xHealthy

WNC's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

WNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.4Neutral
Stochastic11.3Oversold

WNC's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WNC PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricWNCSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

WNC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over WNC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.56.2% below
20 week MA$12.88.2% below
50 week MA$10.79% above
100 week MA$10.97.7% above
200 week MA$17.031% below

WNC's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

WNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.4$17.4+20%
2021$17.4$19.7+13%
2022$19.7$23.3+18%
2023$23.3$25.6+10%
2024$25.6$17.3-32%
2025$17.3$8.88-49%
2026 YTD$8.88$11.7+32%

WNC has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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