RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

WAB

Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation

63
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

WAB has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WAB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

WAB's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WAB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$301—
Cheap28x$224-25%
Fair31x$251-16%
Expensive37x$302+0.4%
Current37x$301—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WAB's PE is in its expensive range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WAB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WAB, with profitability improving.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails WAB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WAB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$364.00
Downside-11%$268.07

Calculated from the latest close: $300.51 on Nov 12.

WAB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

WAB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.53Q1 2024: $5.13Q2 2024: $5.71Q3 2024: $6.01Q4 2024: $6.04Q1 2025: $6.39Q2 2025: $6.71Q3 2025: $6.89Q4 2025: $6.83Q1 2026: $7.07Q2 2026: $7.44Q3 2026: $8.05Forward: $11.90
Q4 2023: $4.53Q1 2024: $5.13Q2 2024: $5.71Q3 2024: $6.01Q4 2024: $6.04Q1 2025: $6.39Q2 2025: $6.71Q3 2025: $6.89Q4 2025: $6.83Q1 2026: $7.07Q2 2026: $7.44Q3 2026: $8.05Forward: $11.90
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.90+48%
Q3 2026$8.05+17%
Q2 2026$7.44+11%
Q1 2026$7.07+11%
Q4 2025$6.83+13%
Q3 2025$6.89+15%
Q2 2025$6.71+18%
Q1 2025$6.39+25%
Q4 2024$6.04+33%

WAB has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over WAB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

WAB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.9BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.9BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B+8.1%
Q2 2026$3.2B+17%
Q1 2026$3B+13%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2025$2.7B+2.3%
Q1 2025$2.6B+4.5%
Q4 2024$2.6B+2.3%

WAB's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $3.1B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

WAB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $609MQ1 2024: $303MQ2 2024: $189MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $639MQ1 2025: $147MQ2 2025: $170MQ3 2025: $312MQ4 2025: $870MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: $379MQ3 2026: $381M
Q4 2023: $609MQ1 2024: $303MQ2 2024: $189MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $639MQ1 2025: $147MQ2 2025: $170MQ3 2025: $312MQ4 2025: $870MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: $379MQ3 2026: $381M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$381M+22%
Q2 2026$379M+123%
Q1 2026$153M+4.1%
Q4 2025$870M+36%
Q3 2025$312M-37%
Q2 2025$170M-10%
Q1 2025$147M-51%
Q4 2024$639M+4.9%

WAB has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

WAB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 180MQ1 2024: 177MQ2 2024: 176MQ3 2024: 174MQ4 2024: 175MQ1 2025: 171MQ2 2025: 171MQ3 2025: 171MQ4 2025: 171MQ1 2026: 171MQ2 2026: 170MQ3 2026: 169M
Q4 2023: 180MQ1 2024: 177MQ2 2024: 176MQ3 2024: 174MQ4 2024: 175MQ1 2025: 171MQ2 2025: 171MQ3 2025: 171MQ4 2025: 171MQ1 2026: 171MQ2 2026: 170MQ3 2026: 169M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-800K shares
1 year-1.3%-2.3M shares
3 years-5.8%-10.4M shares
5 years-10%-19.2M shares
Available history-4.8%-8.5M shares

WAB has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WAB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.2xModerate
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.5xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

WAB's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

WAB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.3Neutral
Stochastic47.0Neutral

WAB's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WAB PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricWABSector medianRelative
PE37x24x55% above
PE %815823 pts above

WAB is trading at 37x earnings, a 55% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

WAB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$285.55.3% above
20 week MA$284.55.6% above
50 week MA$262.215% above
100 week MA$228.432% above
200 week MA$181.665% above

WAB has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

WAB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$78.6$73.3-6.7%
2021$73.3$89.9+23%
2022$89.9$100.5+12%
2023$100.5$126.9+26%
2024$126.9$192.0+51%
2025$192.0$219.3+14%
2026 YTD$219.3$300.5+37%

WAB has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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