RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

VRSK

Verisk Analytics, Inc.

71
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation73/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

VRSK has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VRSK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Stable

VRSK's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRSK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x58x77x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x58x77x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$206—
Cheap29x$191-7.4%
Current31x$206—
Fair45x$294+42%
Expensive59x$386+87%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRSK's PE is in its cheap range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VRSK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VRSK, with profitability improving.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VRSK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VRSK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$247.97
Downside-12%$182.28

Calculated from the latest close: $206.32 on Nov 12.

VRSK trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

VRSK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.17Q1 2024: $5.32Q2 2024: $6.12Q3 2024: $6.37Q4 2024: $6.71Q1 2025: $6.84Q2 2025: $6.50Q3 2025: $6.57Q4 2025: $6.48Q1 2026: $6.56Q2 2026: $6.50Q3 2026: $6.59Forward: $8.42
Q4 2023: $4.17Q1 2024: $5.32Q2 2024: $6.12Q3 2024: $6.37Q4 2024: $6.71Q1 2025: $6.84Q2 2025: $6.50Q3 2025: $6.57Q4 2025: $6.48Q1 2026: $6.56Q2 2026: $6.50Q3 2026: $6.59Forward: $8.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.42+28%
Q3 2026$6.59+0.3%
Q2 2026$6.500%
Q1 2026$6.56-4.1%
Q4 2025$6.48-3.4%
Q3 2025$6.57+3.1%
Q2 2025$6.50+6.2%
Q1 2025$6.84+29%
Q4 2024$6.71+61%

VRSK has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over VRSK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

VRSK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $677MQ1 2024: $704MQ2 2024: $717MQ3 2024: $725MQ4 2024: $736MQ1 2025: $753MQ2 2025: $773MQ3 2025: $768MQ4 2025: $779MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $806MQ3 2026: $809M
Q4 2023: $677MQ1 2024: $704MQ2 2024: $717MQ3 2024: $725MQ4 2024: $736MQ1 2025: $753MQ2 2025: $773MQ3 2025: $768MQ4 2025: $779MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $806MQ3 2026: $809M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$809M+5.3%
Q2 2026$806.3M+4.4%
Q1 2026$782.6M+3.9%
Q4 2025$778.8M+5.9%
Q3 2025$768.3M+5.9%
Q2 2025$772.6M+7.8%
Q1 2025$753M+7%
Q4 2024$735.6M+8.6%

VRSK's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $809M last quarter, up 5.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

VRSK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $196MQ1 2024: $317MQ2 2024: $154MQ3 2024: $241MQ4 2024: $200MQ1 2025: $391MQ2 2025: $189MQ3 2025: $336MQ4 2025: $276MQ1 2026: $326MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: $200M
Q4 2023: $196MQ1 2024: $317MQ2 2024: $154MQ3 2024: $241MQ4 2024: $200MQ1 2025: $391MQ2 2025: $189MQ3 2025: $336MQ4 2025: $276MQ1 2026: $326MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: $200M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$200M-40%
Q2 2026$297.9M+58%
Q1 2026$326.4M-17%
Q4 2025$276.1M+38%
Q3 2025$336.1M+40%
Q2 2025$188.7M+23%
Q1 2025$391M+23%
Q4 2024$200M+2%

VRSK has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

VRSK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 147MQ1 2024: 144MQ2 2024: 143MQ3 2024: 143MQ4 2024: 143MQ1 2025: 141MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 140MQ4 2025: 140MQ1 2026: 135MQ2 2026: 131MQ3 2026: 129M
Q4 2023: 147MQ1 2024: 144MQ2 2024: 143MQ3 2024: 143MQ4 2024: 143MQ1 2025: 141MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 140MQ4 2025: 140MQ1 2026: 135MQ2 2026: 131MQ3 2026: 129M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-1.6M shares
1 year-7.7%-10.7M shares
3 years-11%-16.5M shares
5 years-21%-33.6M shares
Available history-22%-37.3M shares

VRSK has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VRSK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.4x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.4xModerate
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20251.7xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

VRSK's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.6 years a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

VRSK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.8Neutral
Stochastic71.3Neutral

VRSK's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRSK PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRSKSector medianRelative
PE31x24x30% above
PE %235835 pts below

VRSK is trading at 31x earnings, a 30% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

VRSK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$188.19.7% above
20 week MA$188.39.6% above
50 week MA$191.77.6% above
100 week MA$234.512% below
200 week MA$236.213% below

VRSK has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 13% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

VRSK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.6$201.2+35%
2021$201.2$225.5+12%
2022$225.5$175.6-22%
2023$175.6$238.9+36%
2024$238.9$277.3+16%
2025$277.3$220.3-21%
2026 YTD$220.3$206.3-6.4%

VRSK has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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