RKLB
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
RKLB has a slight edge over VLRS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
VLRS
Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V.
VLRS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RKLB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
VLRS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
VLRS's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
RKLB PE Valuation
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VLRS PE Valuation
VLRS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RKLB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RKLB has the edge over VLRS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
VLRS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses steady | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect VLRS's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.
RKLB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.36 | +$0.03 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.27 | +$0.19 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.37 | +$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.39 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.46 | -$0.11 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.41 | -$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.38 | $0.00 |
RKLB has the edge over VLRS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
VLRS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.91 | -$1.37 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.63 | -$1.36 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.07 | -397% |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.89 | -182% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.54 | -133% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.27 | -127% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.36 | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.09 | +1457% |
VLRS lost $1.91 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last eight quarters.
RKLB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $267.8M | +73% |
| Q2 2026 | $234.1M | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $200.3M | +63% |
| Q4 2025 | $179.7M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $155.1M | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $144.5M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $122.6M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $132.4M | +121% |
RKLB has the edge over VLRS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -30% | +8.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -25% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | -28% | +20 points |
| Q4 2025 | -28% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | -38% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -41% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -48% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -39% | +41 points |
RKLB's operating margin was −30% last quarter, up 8.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VLRS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1B | +32% |
| Q2 2026 | $859M | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $770M | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $881.5M | +5.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $784M | -3.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $693M | -4.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $678M | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $834.9M | -7.1% |
VLRS's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.3% | -5.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | -12% | -8.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2.7% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.3% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.7% | -6.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | -3.2% | -12 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.5% | -15 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | -8.3 points |
VLRS has the edge over RKLB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RKLB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$23.9M | +$45.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$110.1M | -$54.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$77.4M | +$5.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$114.2M | -$90.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$69.4M | -$27.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$55.3M | -$26.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$82.9M | -$61.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$23.9M | +$28.7M |
RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.
VLRS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $234M | +178% |
| Q2 2026 | $137.2M | +79% |
| Q1 2026 | $176.3M | +183% |
| Q4 2025 | $165.3M | -46% |
| Q3 2025 | $84.2M | -64% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.6M | -75% |
| Q1 2025 | $62.2M | -75% |
| Q4 2024 | $308M | +41% |
VLRS has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RKLB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.6% | +22.6M shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +124M shares |
| 3 years | +35% | +168M shares |
| 5 years | +46% | +204M shares |
RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
VLRS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +33.1K shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -1.3M shares |
| 3 years | -1.4% | -1.6M shares |
| 5 years | -1.4% | -1.6M shares |
VLRS has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
VLRS hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
RKLB Net Leverage
RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
VLRS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.5x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 3.9x | Elevated |
VLRS's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.5 years a year ago.
RKLB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.6 | Neutral |
RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
VLRS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 61.6 | Neutral |
VLRS's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).
RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VLRS PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | VLRS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
VLRS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RKLB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $61.4 | 4.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $68.1 | 5.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $77.6 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.5 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.4 | 104% above |
RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.
VLRS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.70 | 21% above |
| 20 week MA | $7.19 | 13% above |
| 50 week MA | $7.84 | 3.6% above |
| 100 week MA | $6.95 | 17% above |
| 200 week MA | $7.92 | 2.5% above |
VLRS has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RKLB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.82 | $10.3 | +4.9% |
| 2021 | $10.3 | $12.0 | +17% |
| 2022 | $12.0 | $3.77 | -69% |
| 2023 | $3.77 | $5.53 | +47% |
| 2024 | $5.53 | $27.2 | +392% |
| 2025 | $27.2 | $70.7 | +160% |
| 2026 YTD | $70.7 | $64.1 | -9.3% |
RKLB has the edge over VLRS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
VLRS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.5 | $11.0 | +4.9% |
| 2021 | $11.0 | $17.7 | +60% |
| 2022 | $17.7 | $8.53 | -52% |
| 2023 | $8.53 | $9.38 | +10% |
| 2024 | $9.38 | $7.63 | -19% |
| 2025 | $7.63 | $9.22 | +21% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.22 | $8.12 | -12% |
VLRS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 12% so far in 2026.