RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

URI

United Rentals, Inc.

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

URI has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

URI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Stable

URI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

URI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.4x15x22x30x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.4x15x22x30x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$540-53%
Fair18x$824-28%
Forward19x$1,139—
Expensive24x$1,100-3.5%
Current25x$1,139—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

URI's PE is in its expensive range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

URI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for URI, with profitability improving.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails URI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

URI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$1,548.07
Downside-17%$942.46

Calculated from the latest close: $1,139.14 on Nov 12.

URI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

URI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $35.35Q1 2024: $36.92Q2 2024: $37.88Q3 2024: $38.29Q4 2024: $38.75Q1 2025: $38.62Q2 2025: $38.67Q3 2025: $38.88Q4 2025: $38.68Q1 2026: $39.20Q2 2026: $41.64Q3 2026: $45.50Forward: $59.66
Q4 2023: $35.35Q1 2024: $36.92Q2 2024: $37.88Q3 2024: $38.29Q4 2024: $38.75Q1 2025: $38.62Q2 2025: $38.67Q3 2025: $38.88Q4 2025: $38.68Q1 2026: $39.20Q2 2026: $41.64Q3 2026: $45.50Forward: $59.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$59.66+31%
Q3 2026$45.50+17%
Q2 2026$41.64+7.7%
Q1 2026$39.20+1.5%
Q4 2025$38.68-0.2%
Q3 2025$38.88+1.5%
Q2 2025$38.67+2.1%
Q1 2025$38.62+4.6%
Q4 2024$38.75+9.6%

URI has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over URI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

URI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.5BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4BQ4 2024: $4.1BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $4.2BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $4.4BQ3 2026: $4.9B
Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.5BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4BQ4 2024: $4.1BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $4.2BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $4.4BQ3 2026: $4.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.9B+16%
Q2 2026$4.4B+12%
Q1 2026$4B+7.2%
Q4 2025$4.2B+2.8%
Q3 2025$4.2B+5.9%
Q2 2025$3.9B+4.5%
Q1 2025$3.7B+6.7%
Q4 2024$4.1B+9.8%

URI's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $4.9B last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

URI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $895MQ1 2024: $376MQ2 2024: −$263MQ3 2024: −$168MQ4 2024: $471MQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $895MQ1 2024: $376MQ2 2024: −$263MQ3 2024: −$168MQ4 2024: $471MQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+38%
Q2 2026$1.8B+35%
Q1 2026$1.5B+6.2%
Q4 2025$1.3B+167%
Q3 2025$1.2B+$1.3B
Q2 2025$1.3B+$1.6B
Q1 2025$1.4B+279%
Q4 2024$471M-47%

URI has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

URI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 66MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 65MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 65MQ1 2026: 63MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 66MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 65MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 65MQ1 2026: 63MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-367K shares
1 year-3.1%-2M shares
3 years-8.8%-6M shares
5 years-14%-10.4M shares
Available history-20%-15.4M shares

URI has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

URI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xModerate
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.9xModerate

URI's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

URI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.3Neutral
Stochastic65.7Neutral

URI's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

URI PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricURISector medianRelative
PE25x24x4% above
PE %885830 pts above

URI is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

URI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,084.75% above
20 week MA$1,079.85.5% above
50 week MA$963.318% above
100 week MA$869.031% above
200 week MA$720.558% above

URI has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

URI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$168.5$232.6+38%
2021$232.6$331.7+43%
2022$331.7$355.2+7.1%
2023$355.2$573.4+61%
2024$573.4$716.5+25%
2025$716.5$827.9+16%
2026 YTD$827.9$1,139.1+38%

URI has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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