RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ULS

UL Solutions Inc.

65
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

ULS has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ULS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

ULS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ULS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current32x$81.55—
Forward32x$81.55—
Cheap33x$82.52+1.2%
Fair42x$105+29%
Expensive52x$130+60%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ULS's PE is in its cheap range at 32.4x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 32.3x.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ULS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ULS, with profitability improving.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails ULS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ULS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$106.71
Downside-16%$68.57

Calculated from the latest close: $81.55 on Nov 12.

ULS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

ULS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.31Q1 2024: $1.31Q2 2024: $1.34Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.62Q1 2025: $1.67Q2 2025: $1.62Q3 2025: $1.67Q4 2025: $1.60Q1 2026: $1.72Q2 2026: $2.48Q3 2026: $2.52Forward: $2.52
Q4 2023: $1.31Q1 2024: $1.31Q2 2024: $1.34Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.62Q1 2025: $1.67Q2 2025: $1.62Q3 2025: $1.67Q4 2025: $1.60Q1 2026: $1.72Q2 2026: $2.48Q3 2026: $2.52Forward: $2.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.52+0.1%
Q3 2026$2.52+51%
Q2 2026$2.48+53%
Q1 2026$1.72+3%
Q4 2025$1.60-1.2%
Q3 2025$1.67+11%
Q2 2025$1.62+21%
Q1 2025$1.67+27%
Q4 2024$1.62+24%

ULS has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over ULS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ULS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $684MQ1 2024: $670MQ2 2024: $730MQ3 2024: $731MQ4 2024: $739MQ1 2025: $705MQ2 2025: $776MQ3 2025: $783MQ4 2025: $789MQ1 2026: $758MQ2 2026: $816MQ3 2026: $823M
Q4 2023: $684MQ1 2024: $670MQ2 2024: $730MQ3 2024: $731MQ4 2024: $739MQ1 2025: $705MQ2 2025: $776MQ3 2025: $783MQ4 2025: $789MQ1 2026: $758MQ2 2026: $816MQ3 2026: $823M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$823M+5.1%
Q2 2026$816M+5.2%
Q1 2026$758M+7.5%
Q4 2025$789M+6.8%
Q3 2025$783M+7.1%
Q2 2025$776M+6.3%
Q1 2025$705M+5.2%
Q4 2024$739M+8%

ULS's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2023: $823M last quarter, up 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

ULS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: $84MQ2 2024: $47MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $103MQ2 2025: $105MQ3 2025: $109MQ4 2025: $86MQ1 2026: $150MQ2 2026: $91MQ3 2026: $154M
Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: $84MQ2 2024: $47MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $103MQ2 2025: $105MQ3 2025: $109MQ4 2025: $86MQ1 2026: $150MQ2 2026: $91MQ3 2026: $154M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$154M+41%
Q2 2026$91M-13%
Q1 2026$150M+46%
Q4 2025$86M+19%
Q3 2025$109M+30%
Q2 2025$105M+123%
Q1 2025$103M+23%
Q4 2024$72M+7.5%

ULS has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

ULS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 200MQ1 2024: 200MQ2 2024: 201MQ3 2024: 202MQ4 2024: 201MQ1 2025: 203MQ2 2025: 203MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 203MQ1 2026: 204MQ2 2026: 204MQ3 2026: 204M
Q4 2023: 200MQ1 2024: 200MQ2 2024: 201MQ3 2024: 202MQ4 2024: 201MQ1 2025: 203MQ2 2025: 203MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 203MQ1 2026: 204MQ2 2026: 204MQ3 2026: 204M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.5%+1M shares
3 years+2%+4M shares

ULS has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ULS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

ULS has more cash than debt.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

ULS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.8Neutral
Stochastic60.4Neutral

ULS's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ULS PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricULSSector medianRelative
PE32x24x34% above
PE %134431 pts below

ULS is trading at 32x earnings, a 34% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

ULS has stronger trend alignment. RKLB is above 3 of 5 weekly averages versus ULS above 3 of 4.

ULS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$73.012% above
20 week MA$77.45.4% above
50 week MA$82.10.7% below
100 week MA$73.611% above

ULS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 11% above its 100-week average.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

ULS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$34.9$50.4+44%
2025$50.4$80.0+59%
2026 YTD$80.0$81.6+2%

ULS has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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