RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over ULH overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

ULH

Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc.

48
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation13/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential48/ 100

ULH's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ULH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

ULH's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ULH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.4x17x25x33x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.4x17x25x33x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6x$10.18-66%
Fair8.2x$13.90-53%
Expensive14x$22.97-23%
Forward15x$29.71—
Current18x$29.71—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ULH's PE is in its expensive range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over ULH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

ULH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ULH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ULH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ULH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+82%$54.06
Downside-48%$15.42

Calculated from the latest close: $29.71 on Nov 12.

ULH trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

ULH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.53Q1 2024: $4.57Q2 2024: $4.84Q3 2024: $4.97Q4 2024: $4.93Q1 2025: $3.17Q2 2025: $2.32Q3 2025: $-3.17Q4 2025: $-3.79Q2 2026: $-4.15Q3 2026: $-3.48Q4 2026: $1.69Forward: $1.95
Q4 2023: $3.53Q1 2024: $4.57Q2 2024: $4.84Q3 2024: $4.97Q4 2024: $4.93Q1 2025: $3.17Q2 2025: $2.32Q3 2025: $-3.17Q4 2025: $-3.79Q2 2026: $-4.15Q3 2026: $-3.48Q4 2026: $1.69Forward: $1.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.95+15%
Q3 2026$1.69+$4.86
Q2 2026-$3.48-250%
Q1 2026-$4.15-231%
Q4 2025-$3.79-177%
Q3 2025-$3.17-164%
Q2 2025$2.32-52%
Q1 2025$3.17-31%
Q4 2024$4.93+40%

ULH has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over ULH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ULH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $391MQ1 2024: $492MQ2 2024: $462MQ3 2024: $427MQ4 2024: $465MQ1 2025: $382MQ2 2025: $394MQ3 2025: $397MQ4 2025: $385MQ2 2026: $368MQ3 2026: $379MQ4 2026: $394M
Q4 2023: $391MQ1 2024: $492MQ2 2024: $462MQ3 2024: $427MQ4 2024: $465MQ1 2025: $382MQ2 2025: $394MQ3 2025: $397MQ4 2025: $385MQ2 2026: $368MQ3 2026: $379MQ4 2026: $394M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$394M-0.7%
Q2 2026$379.3M-3.7%
Q1 2026$367.6M-3.9%
Q4 2025$385.4M-17%
Q3 2025$396.8M-7%
Q2 2025$393.8M-15%
Q1 2025$382.4M-22%
Q4 2024$465.1M+19%

ULH's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $394M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

ULH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $582,000Q1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: −$68MQ3 2024: −$59MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: −$59MQ3 2025: −$29MQ4 2025: $14MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $27MQ4 2026: $7M
Q4 2023: $582,000Q1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: −$68MQ3 2024: −$59MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: −$59MQ3 2025: −$29MQ4 2025: $14MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $27MQ4 2026: $7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$7.2M+$35.8M
Q2 2026$27.1M+$85.7M
Q1 2026$23.8M-25%
Q4 2025$14.3M-25%
Q3 2025-$28.6M+$30.3M
Q2 2025-$58.6M+$9M
Q1 2025$31.7M+$63.4M
Q4 2024$18.9M+3156%

ULH has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

ULH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26MQ4 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26MQ4 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-3K shares
1 year+0.1%+27K shares
3 years+0.2%+57K shares
5 years-2.1%-561K shares
Available history-3.4%-916K shares

ULH has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ULH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 8.0xQ4 2025: 9.4xQ2 2026: 10.3xQ3 2026: 7.2xQ4 2026: 2.8x
Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 8.0xQ4 2025: 9.4xQ2 2026: 10.3xQ3 2026: 7.2xQ4 2026: 2.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.8xModerate
Q2 20267.2xHigh
Q1 202610.3xHigh
Q4 20259.4xHigh
Q3 20258.0xHigh
Q2 20253.0xElevated
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.3xModerate

ULH's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.0 years a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

ULH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI72.0Overbought
Stochastic80.1Overbought

ULH's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ULH PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricULHSector medianRelative
PE18x24x27% below
PE %965838 pts above

ULH is trading at 18x earnings, a 27% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

ULH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.644% above
20 week MA$18.560% above
50 week MA$17.767% above
100 week MA$22.333% above
200 week MA$28.35.2% above

ULH has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

ULH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.1$20.7+8.6%
2021$20.7$18.0-13%
2022$18.0$34.2+90%
2023$34.2$28.0-18%
2024$28.0$46.1+64%
2025$46.1$15.7-66%
2026 YTD$15.7$29.7+90%

ULH has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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