RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TTC

The Toro Company

62
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

TTC has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

TTC's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TTC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$107—
Cheap22x$82.04-23%
Fair26x$98.24-8.1%
Current29x$107—
Expensive31x$117+9.1%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TTC's PE is in its fair range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TTC, with profitability improving.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$127.36
Downside-15%$90.97

Calculated from the latest close: $106.85 on Nov 12.

TTC trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

TTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.13Q1 2024: $2.74Q2 2024: $2.53Q3 2024: $3.81Q4 2024: $4.01Q1 2025: $3.91Q2 2025: $3.90Q3 2025: $3.30Q4 2025: $3.17Q1 2026: $3.34Q2 2026: $3.47Q3 2026: $3.74Forward: $5.05
Q4 2023: $3.13Q1 2024: $2.74Q2 2024: $2.53Q3 2024: $3.81Q4 2024: $4.01Q1 2025: $3.91Q2 2025: $3.90Q3 2025: $3.30Q4 2025: $3.17Q1 2026: $3.34Q2 2026: $3.47Q3 2026: $3.74Forward: $5.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.05+35%
Q3 2026$3.74+13%
Q2 2026$3.47-11%
Q1 2026$3.34-15%
Q4 2025$3.17-21%
Q3 2025$3.30-13%
Q2 2025$3.90+54%
Q1 2025$3.91+43%
Q4 2024$4.01+28%

TTC has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over TTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $983MQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $995MQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $983MQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $995MQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.4B+8.1%
Q1 2026$1B+4.2%
Q4 2025$1.1B-0.9%
Q3 2025$1.1B-2.2%
Q2 2025$1.3B-2.3%
Q1 2025$995M-0.7%
Q4 2024$1.1B+9.4%

TTC's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $1.2B last quarter, up 8.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

TTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $108MQ1 2024: −$111MQ2 2024: $207MQ3 2024: $171MQ4 2024: $200MQ1 2025: −$68MQ2 2025: $152MQ3 2025: $207MQ4 2025: $286MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $251MQ3 2026: $160M
Q4 2023: $108MQ1 2024: −$111MQ2 2024: $207MQ3 2024: $171MQ4 2024: $200MQ1 2025: −$68MQ2 2025: $152MQ3 2025: $207MQ4 2025: $286MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $251MQ3 2026: $160M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$159.6M-23%
Q2 2026$250.9M+65%
Q1 2026$14.6M+$82.3M
Q4 2025$286.4M+43%
Q3 2025$207.2M+21%
Q2 2025$152.4M-26%
Q1 2025-$67.7M+$43.6M
Q4 2024$200.2M+85%

TTC has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

TTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 105MQ1 2024: 105MQ2 2024: 105MQ3 2024: 105MQ4 2024: 104MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 100MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 98MQ2 2026: 97MQ3 2026: 96M
Q4 2023: 105MQ1 2024: 105MQ2 2024: 105MQ3 2024: 105MQ4 2024: 104MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 100MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 98MQ2 2026: 97MQ3 2026: 96M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-1.5M shares
1 year-3.4%-3.4M shares
3 years-8.3%-8.7M shares
5 years-12%-12.8M shares
Available history-12%-12.5M shares

TTC has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20251.1xHealthy
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

TTC's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.5 years a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

TTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.4Neutral
Stochastic81.6Overbought

TTC's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TTC PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricTTCSector medianRelative
PE29x24x19% above
PE %65587 pts above

TTC is trading at 29x earnings, a 19% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

TTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$102.14.6% above
20 week MA$98.28.8% above
50 week MA$93.814% above
100 week MA$84.427% above
200 week MA$89.020% above

TTC has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

TTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$80.2$93.9+17%
2021$93.9$99.3+5.8%
2022$99.3$113.0+14%
2023$113.0$96.0-15%
2024$96.0$81.0-16%
2025$81.0$79.4-2%
2026 YTD$79.4$106.9+35%

TTC has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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