RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TT

Trane Technologies plc

64
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

TT has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

TT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap24x$341-20%
Forward25x$424—
Current30x$424—
Fair32x$448+5.6%
Expensive37x$520+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TT's PE is in its fair range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TT, with profitability improving.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails TT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$548.28
Downside-12%$374.73

Calculated from the latest close: $424.05 on Nov 12.

TT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

TT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.77Q1 2024: $9.34Q2 2024: $10.09Q3 2024: $10.76Q4 2024: $11.24Q1 2025: $12.01Q2 2025: $12.60Q3 2025: $12.99Q4 2025: $12.98Q1 2026: $12.93Q2 2026: $13.20Q3 2026: $14.16Forward: $17.18
Q4 2023: $8.77Q1 2024: $9.34Q2 2024: $10.09Q3 2024: $10.76Q4 2024: $11.24Q1 2025: $12.01Q2 2025: $12.60Q3 2025: $12.99Q4 2025: $12.98Q1 2026: $12.93Q2 2026: $13.20Q3 2026: $14.16Forward: $17.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$17.18+21%
Q3 2026$14.16+9%
Q2 2026$13.20+4.8%
Q1 2026$12.93+7.7%
Q4 2025$12.98+15%
Q3 2025$12.99+21%
Q2 2025$12.60+25%
Q1 2025$12.01+29%
Q4 2024$11.24+28%

TT has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over TT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.4BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $5.3BQ3 2024: $5.4BQ4 2024: $4.9BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $5.7BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $5.1BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $6.4BQ3 2026: $6.8B
Q4 2023: $4.4BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $5.3BQ3 2024: $5.4BQ4 2024: $4.9BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $5.7BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $5.1BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $6.4BQ3 2026: $6.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.8B+18%
Q2 2026$6.4B+11%
Q1 2026$5B+6%
Q4 2025$5.1B+5.5%
Q3 2025$5.7B+5.5%
Q2 2025$5.7B+8.3%
Q1 2025$4.7B+11%
Q4 2024$4.9B+10%

TT's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $6.8B last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

TT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $851MQ1 2024: $163MQ2 2024: $623MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $774MQ1 2025: $221MQ2 2025: $602MQ3 2025: $936MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $547MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $851MQ1 2024: $163MQ2 2024: $623MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $774MQ1 2025: $221MQ2 2025: $602MQ3 2025: $936MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $547MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+29%
Q2 2026$1B+68%
Q1 2026$546.5M+148%
Q4 2025$1.1B+36%
Q3 2025$935.6M-23%
Q2 2025$602.2M-3.3%
Q1 2025$220.6M+35%
Q4 2024$774.3M-9%

TT has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

TT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 231MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 229MQ3 2024: 228MQ4 2024: 228MQ1 2025: 226MQ2 2025: 225MQ3 2025: 224MQ4 2025: 225MQ1 2026: 223MQ2 2026: 223MQ3 2026: 221M
Q4 2023: 231MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 229MQ3 2024: 228MQ4 2024: 228MQ1 2025: 226MQ2 2025: 225MQ3 2025: 224MQ4 2025: 225MQ1 2026: 223MQ2 2026: 223MQ3 2026: 221M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-1.1M shares
1 year-1.3%-3M shares
3 years-4%-9.2M shares
5 years-8.4%-20.3M shares
Available history-9.4%-23M shares

TT has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.8xVery low
Q4 20231.1xHealthy
Q4 20221.3xHealthy
Q4 20211.2xHealthy
Q3 20210.9xVery low
Q2 20210.9xVery low
Q1 20211.1xHealthy

TT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.2 years a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

TT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.7Neutral
Stochastic14.4Oversold

TT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricTTSector medianRelative
PE30x24x24% above
PE %425816 pts below

TT is trading at 30x earnings, a 24% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over TT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$441.94% below
20 week MA$454.26.6% below
50 week MA$444.14.5% below
100 week MA$421.80.5% above
200 week MA$343.124% above

TT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 24% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

TT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$104.2$143.7+38%
2021$143.7$197.3+37%
2022$197.3$170.0-14%
2023$170.0$243.9+44%
2024$243.9$373.5+53%
2025$373.5$392.6+5.1%
2026 YTD$392.6$424.1+8%

TT has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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