RKLB
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
RKLB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TREX
Trex Company, Inc.
TREX has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
RKLB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TREX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
TREX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RKLB PE Valuation
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TREX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $45.26 | -14% |
| Forward | 26x | $52.81 | — |
| Current | 31x | $52.81 | — |
| Fair | 35x | $60.14 | +14% |
| Expensive | 54x | $93.43 | +77% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TREX's PE is in its fair range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
RKLB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TREX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TREX, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RKLB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.36 | +$0.03 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.27 | +$0.19 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.37 | +$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.39 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.46 | -$0.11 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.41 | -$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.38 | $0.00 |
RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.
TREX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.04 | +18% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.73 | -6.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.69 | -2.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.80 | -1.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.78 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.85 | -16% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.74 | -28% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.83 | -21% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.09 | +11% |
TREX has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RKLB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $267.8M | +73% |
| Q2 2026 | $234.1M | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $200.3M | +63% |
| Q4 2025 | $179.7M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $155.1M | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $144.5M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $122.6M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $132.4M | +121% |
RKLB has the edge over TREX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -30% | +8.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -25% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | -28% | +20 points |
| Q4 2025 | -28% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | -38% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -41% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -48% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -39% | +41 points |
RKLB's operating margin was −30% last quarter, up 8.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TREX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $359.5M | +26% |
| Q2 2026 | $418M | +7.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $343.4M | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | $161.1M | -3.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $285.3M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $387.8M | +3% |
| Q1 2025 | $340M | -9% |
| Q4 2024 | $167.6M | -14% |
TREX's revenue has picked up after four years of holding roughly level: $360M last quarter, up 26% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | -4.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | -5.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 24% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.2% | -7.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 25% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 26% | -4.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -7.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.2% | -5.1 points |
TREX has the edge over RKLB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RKLB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$23.9M | +$45.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$110.1M | -$54.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$77.4M | +$5.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$114.2M | -$90.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$69.4M | -$27.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$55.3M | -$26.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$82.9M | -$61.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$23.9M | +$28.7M |
RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.
TREX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $136M | -4.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $184.5M | -9.1% |
| Q1 2026 | -$141.5M | +$92M |
| Q4 2025 | $22.1M | +$111.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $142.9M | +162% |
| Q2 2025 | $203M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | -$233.5M | -$21.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$89.3M | -286% |
TREX has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RKLB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.6% | +22.6M shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +124M shares |
| 3 years | +35% | +168M shares |
| 5 years | +46% | +204M shares |
RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
TREX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -558K shares |
| 1 year | -5.1% | -5.5M shares |
| 3 years | -6.3% | -6.9M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -13.8M shares |
| Available history | -13% | -15.2M shares |
TREX has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $55.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $70.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $82.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $50.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $25,000 |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $4M |
| Q4 2024 | $50.3M |
TREX spent $259M buying back its own shares over the past year, about five times what it spent the year before.
RKLB Net Leverage
RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TREX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
TREX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RKLB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.6 | Neutral |
RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
TREX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.3 | Neutral |
TREX's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TREX PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | TREX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31x | 24x | 27% above |
| PE % | 35 | 58 | 23 pts below |
TREX is trading at 31x earnings, a 27% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RKLB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $61.4 | 4.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $68.1 | 5.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $77.6 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.5 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.4 | 104% above |
RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.
TREX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $48.5 | 8.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $47.0 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $42.8 | 23% above |
| 100 week MA | $50.4 | 4.9% above |
| 200 week MA | $60.3 | 12% below |
TREX has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RKLB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.82 | $10.3 | +4.9% |
| 2021 | $10.3 | $12.0 | +17% |
| 2022 | $12.0 | $3.77 | -69% |
| 2023 | $3.77 | $5.53 | +47% |
| 2024 | $5.53 | $27.2 | +392% |
| 2025 | $27.2 | $70.7 | +160% |
| 2026 YTD | $70.7 | $64.1 | -9.3% |
RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.
TREX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $45.2 | $86.3 | +91% |
| 2021 | $86.3 | $132.8 | +54% |
| 2022 | $132.8 | $41.9 | -68% |
| 2023 | $41.9 | $82.8 | +98% |
| 2024 | $82.8 | $70.3 | -15% |
| 2025 | $70.3 | $35.7 | -49% |
| 2026 YTD | $35.7 | $52.8 | +48% |
TREX has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.