RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TH

Target Hospitality Corp.

60
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

TH has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Strong
Weak

TH's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability and balance sheet are weak.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TH PE Valuation

TH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TH to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+60%$19.20
Downside-37%$7.56

Calculated from the latest close: $11.98 on Nov 12.

TH trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB has the edge over TH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.56Q1 2024: $1.38Q2 2024: $1.12Q3 2024: $0.89Q4 2024: $0.70Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.10Q3 2025: $-0.11Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.43Q2 2026: $-0.37Q3 2026: $-0.45Forward: $0.64
Q4 2023: $1.56Q1 2024: $1.38Q2 2024: $1.12Q3 2024: $0.89Q4 2024: $0.70Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.10Q3 2025: $-0.11Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.43Q2 2026: $-0.37Q3 2026: $-0.45Forward: $0.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.64—
Q3 2026-$0.45-$0.34
Q2 2026-$0.37-470%
Q1 2026-$0.43-200%
Q4 2025-$0.37-153%
Q3 2025-$0.11-112%
Q2 2025$0.10-91%
Q1 2025$0.43-69%
Q4 2024$0.70-55%

TH lost $0.45 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over TH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $126MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: $101MQ3 2024: $95MQ4 2024: $84MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $99MQ4 2025: $90MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $85MQ3 2026: $129M
Q4 2023: $126MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: $101MQ3 2024: $95MQ4 2024: $84MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $99MQ4 2025: $90MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $85MQ3 2026: $129M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$129.1M+30%
Q2 2026$85.5M+39%
Q1 2026$72.8M+4.1%
Q4 2025$89.8M+7.3%
Q3 2025$99.4M+4.4%
Q2 2025$61.6M-39%
Q1 2025$69.9M-34%
Q4 2024$83.7M-34%

TH's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $129M last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

TH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $53MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $40M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $53MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $40M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$40.4M-24%
Q2 2026$96.2M+772%
Q1 2026$6.9M+$18.4M
Q4 2025$5.7M-81%
Q3 2025$53.3M+70%
Q2 2025$11M-72%
Q1 2025-$11.6M-123%
Q4 2024$30.2M-21%

TH has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

TH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 105MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 101MQ3 2024: 101MQ4 2024: 101MQ1 2025: 99MQ2 2025: 99MQ3 2025: 100MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 100MQ2 2026: 100MQ3 2026: 100M
Q4 2023: 105MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 101MQ3 2024: 101MQ4 2024: 101MQ1 2025: 99MQ2 2025: 99MQ3 2025: 100MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 100MQ2 2026: 100MQ3 2026: 100M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-315K shares
1 year+0.1%+121K shares
3 years-4.9%-5.2M shares
5 years+3.2%+3.1M shares
Available history+2.1%+2.1M shares

TH has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.0xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.0xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20261.0xVery low
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

TH's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

TH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic12.4Oversold

TH's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TH PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricTHSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

TH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over TH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.523% below
20 week MA$16.929% below
50 week MA$13.813% below
100 week MA$10.811% above
200 week MA$11.26.8% above

TH has slipped below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, though it's still 6.8% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

TH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.92$1.61-67%
2021$1.61$3.31+106%
2022$3.31$15.5+369%
2023$15.5$9.73-37%
2024$9.73$9.88+1.5%
2025$9.88$8.48-14%
2026 YTD$8.48$12.0+41%

TH has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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