RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over TEX overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

TEX

Terex Corporation

50
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation13/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

TEX has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TEX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Under pressure

TEX's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TEX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE395x789x1184x1579x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE395x789x1184x1579x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8x$15.81-73%
Forward10x$57.56—
Fair12x$24.64-57%
Expensive29x$57.50-0.1%
Current29x$57.56—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TEX's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TEX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TEX, with profitability improving.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TEX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TEX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$75.72
Downside-19%$46.54

Calculated from the latest close: $57.56 on Nov 12.

TEX trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

TEX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.58Q1 2024: $7.54Q2 2024: $7.28Q3 2024: $6.84Q4 2024: $4.96Q1 2025: $3.67Q2 2025: $2.68Q3 2025: $2.35Q4 2025: $3.33Q1 2026: $2.09Q2 2026: $1.96Q3 2026: $1.98Forward: $5.57
Q4 2023: $7.58Q1 2024: $7.54Q2 2024: $7.28Q3 2024: $6.84Q4 2024: $4.96Q1 2025: $3.67Q2 2025: $2.68Q3 2025: $2.35Q4 2025: $3.33Q1 2026: $2.09Q2 2026: $1.96Q3 2026: $1.98Forward: $5.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.57+181%
Q3 2026$1.98-16%
Q2 2026$1.96-27%
Q1 2026$2.09-43%
Q4 2025$3.33-33%
Q3 2025$2.35-66%
Q2 2025$2.68-63%
Q1 2025$3.67-51%
Q4 2024$4.96-35%

TEX has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over TEX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TEX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+58%
Q2 2026$2.2B+51%
Q1 2026$1.7B+41%
Q4 2025$1.3B+6.2%
Q3 2025$1.4B+14%
Q2 2025$1.5B+7.6%
Q1 2025$1.2B-4.9%
Q4 2024$1.2B+1.5%

TEX's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $2.2B last quarter, up 58% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

TEX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$57MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $130MQ4 2025: $171MQ1 2026: −$57MQ2 2026: $128MQ3 2026: $241M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$57MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $130MQ4 2025: $171MQ1 2026: −$57MQ2 2026: $128MQ3 2026: $241M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$241M+85%
Q2 2026$128M+64%
Q1 2026-$57M$0
Q3 2025$130M+12%
Q2 2025$78M+17%
Q1 2025-$57M-$23.1M
Q3 2024$116.4M-16%
Q2 2024$66.5M-45%

TEX generated $483M in free cash flow over the past year, up 81% from the year before.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has the edge over TEX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TEX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 68MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 66MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 114MQ3 2026: 114M
Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 68MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 66MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 114MQ3 2026: 114M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-200K shares
1 year+73%+48.1M shares
3 years+67%+45.9M shares
5 years+61%+43.1M shares
Available history+59%+42.2M shares

TEX has 114M diluted shares, up 73% from a year ago, despite $76M in buybacks over the past year.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TEX Net Leverage

Q4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 3.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 3.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20263.7xElevated
Q1 20264.6xHigh
Q4 20252.9xModerate

TEX's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

TEX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.4Neutral
Stochastic35.1Neutral

TEX's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TEX PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricTEXSector medianRelative
PE29x24x21% above
PE %835825 pts above

TEX is trading at 29x earnings, a 21% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

TEX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$54.55.7% above
20 week MA$60.95.5% below
50 week MA$60.75.1% below
100 week MA$53.47.9% above
200 week MA$54.26.2% above

TEX's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 6.2% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

TEX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.1$35.9+19%
2021$35.9$43.5+21%
2022$43.5$43.1-1.1%
2023$43.1$57.5+33%
2024$57.5$45.2-21%
2025$45.2$55.2+22%
2026 YTD$55.2$57.6+4.3%

TEX has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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