RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SNOW

Snowflake Inc.

71
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

SNOW has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SNOW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Strong
Unavailable

SNOW's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SNOW PE Valuation

SNOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SNOW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SNOW, with profitability improving.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SNOW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SNOW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$479.82
Downside-35%$194.51

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

SNOW trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB has the edge over SNOW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SNOW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.68Q1 2024: $-2.55Q2 2024: $-2.80Q3 2024: $-3.06Q4 2024: $-3.39Q1 2025: $-3.86Q2 2025: $-4.20Q3 2025: $-4.14Q4 2025: $-4.03Q1 2026: $-3.95Q2 2026: $-3.52Q3 2026: $-3.18Forward: $2.74
Q4 2023: $-2.68Q1 2024: $-2.55Q2 2024: $-2.80Q3 2024: $-3.06Q4 2024: $-3.39Q1 2025: $-3.86Q2 2025: $-4.20Q3 2025: $-4.14Q4 2025: $-4.03Q1 2026: $-3.95Q2 2026: $-3.52Q3 2026: $-3.18Forward: $2.74
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.74—
Q3 2026-$3.18+$0.96
Q2 2026-$3.52+$0.68
Q1 2026-$3.95-$0.09
Q4 2025-$4.03-$0.64
Q3 2025-$4.14-$1.08
Q2 2025-$4.20-$1.40
Q1 2025-$3.86-$1.31
Q4 2024-$3.39-$0.71

SNOW is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $3.18 per share over the past year, against $4.20 at its worst in early 2025.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over SNOW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SNOW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $734MQ1 2024: $775MQ2 2024: $829MQ3 2024: $869MQ4 2024: $942MQ1 2025: $987MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $734MQ1 2024: $775MQ2 2024: $829MQ3 2024: $869MQ4 2024: $942MQ1 2025: $987MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+35%
Q2 2026$1.4B+33%
Q1 2026$1.3B+30%
Q4 2025$1.2B+29%
Q3 2025$1.1B+32%
Q2 2025$1B+26%
Q1 2025$986.8M+27%
Q4 2024$942.1M+28%

SNOW's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.5B last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

SNOW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $332MQ2 2024: $339MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $88MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: $765MQ2 2026: $233MQ3 2026: $84M
Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $332MQ2 2024: $339MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $88MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: $765MQ2 2026: $233MQ3 2026: $84M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$83.8M+44%
Q2 2026$232.8M+27%
Q1 2026$765.1M+82%
Q4 2025$113.6M+29%
Q3 2025$58.2M-10%
Q2 2025$183.4M-46%
Q1 2025$421.4M+27%
Q4 2024$88.3M-21%

SNOW has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

SNOW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 329MQ1 2024: 328MQ2 2024: 335MQ3 2024: 335MQ4 2024: 330MQ1 2025: 333MQ2 2025: 334MQ3 2025: 335MQ4 2025: 340MQ1 2026: 337MQ2 2026: 345MQ3 2026: 349M
Q4 2023: 329MQ1 2024: 328MQ2 2024: 335MQ3 2024: 335MQ4 2024: 330MQ1 2025: 333MQ2 2025: 334MQ3 2025: 335MQ4 2025: 340MQ1 2026: 337MQ2 2026: 345MQ3 2026: 349M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+3.9M shares
1 year+4.2%+14M shares
3 years+6.7%+21.9M shares
5 years+17%+51.5M shares
Available history+47%+111M shares

SNOW has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SNOW Net Leverage

SNOW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

SNOW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic25.2Neutral

SNOW's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SNOW PE vs Technology Sector

SNOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

SNOW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$319.96.6% below
20 week MA$311.54.1% below
50 week MA$238.625% above
100 week MA$218.837% above
200 week MA$187.559% above

SNOW has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 59% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

SNOW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$240.0$323.0+35%
2021$323.0$349.2+8.1%
2022$349.2$138.5-60%
2023$138.5$199.0+44%
2024$199.0$158.7-20%
2025$158.7$223.9+41%
2026 YTD$223.9$298.7+33%

SNOW has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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