RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SKYW

SkyWest, Inc.

60
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

SKYW has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SKYW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Stable

SKYW's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SKYW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x47x70x93x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x47x70x93x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.8x$82.50—
Current8x$82.50—
Cheap8.7x$89.40+8.4%
Fair12x$122+48%
Expensive28x$292+254%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SKYW's PE is in its cheap range at 8.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.8x.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over SKYW on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

SKYW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SKYW, with profitability holding steady.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SKYW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SKYW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$105.38
Downside-17%$68.11

Calculated from the latest close: $82.50 on Nov 12.

SKYW trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

SKYW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $4.14Q3 2024: $5.75Q4 2024: $7.77Q1 2025: $8.74Q2 2025: $9.83Q3 2025: $10.48Q4 2025: $10.35Q1 2026: $10.43Q2 2026: $10.06Q3 2026: $10.33Forward: $10.56
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $4.14Q3 2024: $5.75Q4 2024: $7.77Q1 2025: $8.74Q2 2025: $9.83Q3 2025: $10.48Q4 2025: $10.35Q1 2026: $10.43Q2 2026: $10.06Q3 2026: $10.33Forward: $10.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.56+2.2%
Q3 2026$10.33-1.4%
Q2 2026$10.06+2.3%
Q1 2026$10.43+19%
Q4 2025$10.35+33%
Q3 2025$10.48+82%
Q2 2025$9.83+137%
Q1 2025$8.74+227%
Q4 2024$7.77+909%

SKYW has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over SKYW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SKYW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $752MQ1 2024: $804MQ2 2024: $867MQ3 2024: $913MQ4 2024: $944MQ1 2025: $948MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $752MQ1 2024: $804MQ2 2024: $867MQ3 2024: $913MQ4 2024: $944MQ1 2025: $948MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+6.4%
Q2 2026$1.1B+6.5%
Q1 2026$1B+6.8%
Q4 2025$1B+8.5%
Q3 2025$1.1B+15%
Q2 2025$1B+19%
Q1 2025$948.5M+18%
Q4 2024$944.4M+26%

SKYW's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 6.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

SKYW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $225MQ1 2024: $153MQ2 2024: $124MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $163MQ1 2025: $163MQ2 2025: $118MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $224MQ1 2026: $130MQ2 2026: $284MQ3 2026: $125M
Q4 2023: $225MQ1 2024: $153MQ2 2024: $124MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $163MQ1 2025: $163MQ2 2025: $118MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $224MQ1 2026: $130MQ2 2026: $284MQ3 2026: $125M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$124.8M-45%
Q2 2026$283.9M+141%
Q1 2026$130.4M-20%
Q4 2025$224.3M+38%
Q3 2025$225.4M+127%
Q2 2025$117.6M-5.5%
Q1 2025$162.6M+6%
Q4 2024$162.7M-28%

SKYW has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

SKYW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-793K shares
1 year-6.2%-2.6M shares
3 years-8.8%-3.8M shares
5 years-23%-11.9M shares
Available history-24%-12M shares

SKYW has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SKYW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.9xQ1 2024: 4.6xQ2 2024: 3.9xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.6xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.4xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 2.4x
Q4 2023: 5.9xQ1 2024: 4.6xQ2 2024: 3.9xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.6xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.4xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.4xModerate
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20252.4xModerate
Q2 20252.6xModerate
Q1 20252.6xModerate
Q4 20242.8xModerate

SKYW's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

SKYW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.4Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

SKYW's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SKYW PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSKYWSector medianRelative
PE8x24x67% below
PE %125846 pts below

SKYW is trading at 8.0x earnings, a 67% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over SKYW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SKYW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$90.58.8% below
20 week MA$97.015% below
50 week MA$95.914% below
100 week MA$99.117% below
200 week MA$77.86% above

SKYW has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 6% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over SKYW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SKYW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$64.9$40.4-38%
2021$40.4$41.3+2.1%
2022$41.3$15.6-62%
2023$15.6$52.2+235%
2024$52.2$101.3+94%
2025$101.3$102.8+1.5%
2026 YTD$102.8$82.5-20%

SKYW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +235% in 2023 to −62% in 2022. It's down 20% so far in 2026.

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