RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has a slight edge over SIF overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

SIF

SIFCO Industries, Inc.

56
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

SIF has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SIF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

SIF's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SIF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x39x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x39x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.5x$2.25-87%
Fair7.1x$4.57-73%
Expensive26x$16.68-0.8%
Current26x$16.81—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SIF's PE is in its expensive range at 26x.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SIF Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SIF to show an outlook.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SIF, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SIF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$23.66
Downside-31%$11.53

Calculated from the latest close: $16.81 on Nov 12.

SIF trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

SIF Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.47Q4 2023: $-1.60Q1 2024: $-1.46Q2 2024: $-1.34Q3 2024: $-0.90Q4 2024: $-0.71Q1 2025: $-0.68Q2 2025: $-0.13Q3 2025: $-0.12Q4 2025: $0.55Q1 2026: $1.21Q2 2026: $0.64
Q3 2023: $-1.47Q4 2023: $-1.60Q1 2024: $-1.46Q2 2024: $-1.34Q3 2024: $-0.90Q4 2024: $-0.71Q1 2025: $-0.68Q2 2025: $-0.13Q3 2025: $-0.12Q4 2025: $0.55Q1 2026: $1.21Q2 2026: $0.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.64+$0.77
Q1 2026$1.21+$1.89
Q4 2025$0.55+$1.26
Q3 2025-$0.12+$0.78
Q2 2025-$0.13+$1.21
Q1 2025-$0.68+$0.78
Q4 2024-$0.71+$0.89
Q3 2024-$0.90+$0.57

SIF has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over SIF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SIF Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $25MQ4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $26MQ2 2026: $26M
Q3 2023: $25MQ4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $26MQ2 2026: $26M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$26.1M+18%
Q1 2026$26.4M+39%
Q4 2025$24M+15%
Q3 2025$22.8M+5.3%
Q2 2025$22.1M-24%
Q1 2025$19M-28%
Q4 2024$20.9M-0.8%
Q3 2024$21.7M-12%

SIF's revenue is recovering but still below its 2019 peak: $26M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

SIF Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $358,000Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$348,000Q3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $310,000Q3 2025: $566,000Q4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$2M
Q3 2023: $358,000Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$348,000Q3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $310,000Q3 2025: $566,000Q4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$2.1M-792%
Q1 2026-$3M-212%
Q4 2025$8M+$11.9M
Q3 2025$566K-76%
Q2 2025$310K+$658K
Q1 2025$2.7M+$6.7M
Q4 2024-$3.9M-$1.3M
Q3 2024$2.4M+563%

SIF has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

SIF Total Shares

Q3 2023: 6MQ4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 6MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6M
Q3 2023: 6MQ4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 6MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-55K shares
1 year-0.1%-7K shares
3 years+3.2%+191K shares
5 years+2.1%+125K shares
Available history+10%+565K shares

SIF has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SIF Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 118.2xQ2 2024: 31.8xQ4 2024: 112.5xQ2 2025: 11.0xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 1.3x
Q1 2024: 118.2xQ2 2024: 31.8xQ4 2024: 112.5xQ2 2025: 11.0xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 202511.0xHigh
Q4 2024112.5xHigh
Q2 202431.8xHigh
Q1 2024118.2xHigh

SIF's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 11 years a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

SIF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.7Neutral
Stochastic13.2Oversold

SIF's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SIF PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSIFSector medianRelative
PE26x24x9.1% above
PE %845826 pts above

SIF is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

SIF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.518% below
20 week MA$22.024% below
50 week MA$16.70.9% above
100 week MA$10.658% above
200 week MA$6.99140% above

SIF has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 140% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

SIF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.98$5.30+33%
2021$5.30$6.00+13%
2022$6.00$2.40-60%
2023$2.40$4.54+89%
2024$4.54$3.65-20%
2025$3.65$5.43+49%
2026 YTD$5.43$16.8+210%

SIF has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key