RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over SERV overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

SERV

Serve Robotics Inc.

51
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

SERV has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SERV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SERV's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SERV PE Valuation

SERV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SERV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SERV's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SERV, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SERV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+72%$4.99
Downside-41%$1.71

Calculated from the latest close: $2.90 on Nov 12.

SERV trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

SERV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-2.12Q2 2024: $-2.39Q3 2024: $-2.18Q4 2024: $-1.07Q1 2025: $-0.93Q2 2025: $-1.02Q3 2025: $-1.36Q4 2025: $-1.63Q1 2026: $-2.05Q2 2026: $-2.49Q3 2026: $-2.63
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-2.12Q2 2024: $-2.39Q3 2024: $-2.18Q4 2024: $-1.07Q1 2025: $-0.93Q2 2025: $-1.02Q3 2025: $-1.36Q4 2025: $-1.63Q1 2026: $-2.05Q2 2026: $-2.49Q3 2026: $-2.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.63-$1.27
Q2 2026-$2.49-$1.47
Q1 2026-$2.05-$1.12
Q4 2025-$1.63-$0.56
Q3 2025-$1.36+$0.82
Q2 2025-$1.02+$1.37
Q1 2025-$0.93+$1.19
Q4 2024-$1.07+$0.68

SERV lost $2.63 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2021: $268M last quarter, up 73% from the same quarter a year ago.

SERV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42,719Q1 2024: $946,711Q2 2024: $468,375Q3 2024: $221,555Q4 2024: $175,842Q1 2025: $440,465Q2 2025: $642,000Q3 2025: $687,000Q4 2025: $882,000Q1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $42,719Q1 2024: $946,711Q2 2024: $468,375Q3 2024: $221,555Q4 2024: $175,842Q1 2025: $440,465Q2 2025: $642,000Q3 2025: $687,000Q4 2025: $882,000Q1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.8M+313%
Q2 2026$3.2M+404%
Q1 2026$3M+577%
Q4 2025$882K+402%
Q3 2025$687K+210%
Q2 2025$642K+37%
Q1 2025$440.5K-53%
Q4 2024$175.8K+312%

SERV's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $3M last quarter, up 313% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has the edge over SERV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SERV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: −$11MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: −$22MQ3 2025: −$37MQ4 2025: −$46MQ1 2026: −$43MQ2 2026: −$44MQ3 2026: −$44M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: −$11MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: −$22MQ3 2025: −$37MQ4 2025: −$46MQ1 2026: −$43MQ2 2026: −$44MQ3 2026: −$44M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$44.1M-$7.6M
Q2 2026-$44.3M-$22.3M
Q1 2026-$42.9M-$29.9M
Q4 2025-$46.1M-$35M
Q3 2025-$36.5M-$26.5M
Q2 2025-$22M-$15.5M
Q2 2024-$6.5M-$6.5M
Q2 2023-$23.1K-$7.9K

SERV has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$177M over the past year, against −$83M the year before.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has the edge over SERV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SERV Total Shares

Q1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 62MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 80MQ3 2026: 87M
Q1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 62MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 80MQ3 2026: 87M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+8.2%+6.6M shares
1 year+42%+25.6M shares
3 years+1639%+81.9M shares
5 years+1781%+82.3M shares

SERV has 87M diluted shares, up 42% from a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SERV Net Leverage

SERV's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

SERV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.5Oversold
Stochastic16.7Oversold

SERV's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SERV PE vs Industrials Sector

SERV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has stronger trend alignment. RKLB is above 3 of 5 weekly averages versus SERV above 0 of 4.

SERV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.5218% below
20 week MA$4.4535% below
50 week MA$7.6562% below
100 week MA$9.5670% below

SERV is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 70% below its 100-week average.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over SERV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SERV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$5.51$16.3+196%
2025$16.3$10.1-38%
2026 YTD$10.1$2.90-71%

SERV has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's down 71% so far in 2026.

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