RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SEB

Seaboard Corporation

60
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation77/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

SEB has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SEB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy

SEB's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SEB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE73x145x218x290x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE73x145x218x290x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current6.4x$3,703—
Cheap7.7x$4,443+20%
Fair11x$6,203+68%
Expensive27x$15,382+315%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SEB's PE is in its cheap range at 6.4x.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SEB Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SEB to show an outlook.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SEB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SEB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$4,615.37
Downside-22%$2,900.59

Calculated from the latest close: $3,702.86 on Nov 12.

SEB trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

SEB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $196.83Q1 2024: $233.27Q2 2024: $251.29Q3 2024: $-10.70Q4 2024: $90.62Q1 2025: $100.91Q2 2025: $143.31Q3 2025: $410.46Q4 2025: $514.46Q2 2026: $605.75Q3 2026: $660.27Q4 2026: $575.79
Q4 2023: $196.83Q1 2024: $233.27Q2 2024: $251.29Q3 2024: $-10.70Q4 2024: $90.62Q1 2025: $100.91Q2 2025: $143.31Q3 2025: $410.46Q4 2025: $514.46Q2 2026: $605.75Q3 2026: $660.27Q4 2026: $575.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$575.79+40%
Q2 2026$660.27+361%
Q1 2026$605.75+500%
Q4 2025$514.46+468%
Q3 2025$410.46+$421.16
Q2 2025$143.31-43%
Q1 2025$100.91-57%
Q4 2024$90.62-54%

SEB has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over SEB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SEB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.9BQ4 2026: $2.8B
Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.9BQ4 2026: $2.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.8B+9.1%
Q2 2026$2.9B+18%
Q1 2026$2.4B+3.6%
Q4 2025$2.4B-2.9%
Q3 2025$2.5B+15%
Q2 2025$2.5B+12%
Q1 2025$2.3B+5.7%
Q4 2024$2.5B+8.8%

SEB's revenue is growing: $2.8B last quarter, up 9.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

SEB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: −$85MQ2 2024: −$127MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $162MQ1 2025: −$129MQ2 2025: −$70MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $53MQ2 2026: −$150MQ3 2026: −$78MQ4 2026: $165M
Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: −$85MQ2 2024: −$127MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $162MQ1 2025: −$129MQ2 2025: −$70MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $53MQ2 2026: −$150MQ3 2026: −$78MQ4 2026: $165M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$165M+8.6%
Q2 2026-$78M-$8M
Q1 2026-$150M-$21M
Q4 2025$53M-67%
Q3 2025$152M+162%
Q2 2025-$70M+$57M
Q1 2025-$129M-$44M
Q4 2024$162M+$195M

SEB has the edge over RKLB on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

SEB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1MQ1 2024: 971,055Q2 2024: 971,055Q3 2024: 971,055Q4 2024: 971,055Q1 2025: 971,055Q2 2025: 969,427Q3 2025: 958,618Q4 2025: 964,113Q2 2026: 957,794Q3 2026: 957,794Q4 2026: 957,794
Q4 2023: 1MQ1 2024: 971,055Q2 2024: 971,055Q3 2024: 971,055Q4 2024: 971,055Q1 2025: 971,055Q2 2025: 969,427Q3 2025: 958,618Q4 2025: 964,113Q2 2026: 957,794Q3 2026: 957,794Q4 2026: 957,794
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-0.1%-824 shares
3 years-17%-203K shares
5 years-17%-203K shares
Available history-18%-208K shares

SEB has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SEB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.2xQ4 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.2xQ4 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.7xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

SEB's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

SEB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.5Neutral
Stochastic20.5Neutral

SEB's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SEB PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSEBSector medianRelative
PE6.4x24x73% below
PE %85850 pts below

SEB is trading at 6.4x earnings, a 73% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over SEB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SEB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3,862.24.1% below
20 week MA$4,161.711% below
50 week MA$4,677.421% below
100 week MA$3,866.34.2% below
200 week MA$3,649.81.5% above

SEB has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 1.5% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over SEB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SEB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4,169.5$3,107.0-25%
2021$3,107.0$3,931.0+27%
2022$3,931.0$3,710.0-5.6%
2023$3,710.0$3,570.1-3.8%
2024$3,570.1$2,407.7-33%
2025$2,407.7$4,369.0+81%
2026 YTD$4,369.0$3,702.9-15%

SEB has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

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