RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SB

Safe Bulkers, Inc.

57
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation20/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SB has a slight edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Stable

SB's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.1x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.1x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2.6x$2.04-75%
Fair5.5x$4.26-47%
Current10x$8.11—
Forward10x$8.11—
Expensive12x$9.05+12%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SB's PE is in its expensive range at 10.4x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10.3x.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over SB on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

SB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect SB's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$10.27
Downside-20%$6.48

Calculated from the latest close: $8.11 on Nov 12.

SB trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

SB Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.59Q4 2023: $0.54Q1 2024: $0.68Q2 2024: $0.80Q3 2024: $0.90Q4 2024: $0.83Q1 2025: $0.67Q2 2025: $0.43Q3 2025: $0.36Q4 2025: $0.29Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.78Forward: $0.79
Q3 2023: $0.59Q4 2023: $0.54Q1 2024: $0.68Q2 2024: $0.80Q3 2024: $0.90Q4 2024: $0.83Q1 2025: $0.67Q2 2025: $0.43Q3 2025: $0.36Q4 2025: $0.29Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.78Forward: $0.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.79+1.3%
Q2 2026$0.78+81%
Q1 2026$0.44-34%
Q4 2025$0.29-65%
Q3 2025$0.36-60%
Q2 2025$0.43-46%
Q1 2025$0.67-1.5%
Q4 2024$0.83+54%
Q3 2024$0.90+53%

SB has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over SB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $65MQ4 2023: $82MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $79MQ3 2024: $76MQ4 2024: $71MQ1 2025: $64MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $73MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $87M
Q3 2023: $65MQ4 2023: $82MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $79MQ3 2024: $76MQ4 2024: $71MQ1 2025: $64MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $73MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $87M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$87.5M+33%
Q1 2026$74.4M+16%
Q4 2025$72.6M+1.5%
Q3 2025$73.1M-3.7%
Q2 2025$65.7M-16%
Q1 2025$64.3M-21%
Q4 2024$71.5M-13%
Q3 2024$75.9M+17%

SB's revenue is growing: $87M last quarter, up 33% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

SB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $83MQ4 2023: −$171MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $83MQ4 2023: −$171MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0-100%
Q1 2026$35.2M+18%
Q4 2025$33.2M+$33.2M
Q3 2025$20.1M-19%
Q2 2025$19.1M-52%
Q1 2025$29.9M-17%
Q4 2024$0+$171.3M
Q3 2024$24.8M-70%

SB has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

SB Total Shares

Q3 2023: 112MQ4 2023: 112MQ1 2024: 110MQ2 2024: 107MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 102MQ3 2025: 102MQ4 2025: 102MQ1 2026: 102MQ2 2026: 102M
Q3 2023: 112MQ4 2023: 112MQ1 2024: 110MQ2 2024: 107MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 102MQ3 2025: 102MQ4 2025: 102MQ1 2026: 102MQ2 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-336K shares
1 year-0.6%-654K shares
3 years-9.8%-11.1M shares
5 years-7.2%-7.9M shares
Available history+0.5%+550K shares

SB has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SB Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.2xQ4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.9xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.3x
Q3 2023: 2.2xQ4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.9xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20252.9xModerate
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate
Q3 20242.1xModerate

SB's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.0 years a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

SB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.9Neutral
Stochastic29.6Neutral

SB's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SB PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSBSector medianRelative
PE10x24x57% below
PE %775819 pts above

SB is trading at 10x earnings, a 57% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

SB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.080.4% above
20 week MA$7.971.8% above
50 week MA$6.8019% above
100 week MA$5.3851% above
200 week MA$4.7670% above

SB has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

SB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.75$1.20-31%
2021$1.20$3.69+208%
2022$3.69$2.95-20%
2023$2.95$3.93+33%
2024$3.93$3.57-9.2%
2025$3.57$4.82+35%
2026 YTD$4.82$8.11+68%

SB has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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