RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

RTX

RTX Corporation

68
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

RTX has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RTX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

RTX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RTX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$158-20%
Forward26x$198—
Current32x$198—
Fair35x$215+8.2%
Expensive41x$252+27%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RTX's PE is in its cheap range at 32x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RTX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RTX, with profitability improving.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails RTX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RTX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$249.62
Downside-9%$180.46

Calculated from the latest close: $198.36 on Nov 12.

RTX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

RTX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.23Q1 2024: $2.54Q2 2024: $1.72Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.55Q1 2025: $3.41Q2 2025: $4.55Q3 2025: $4.87Q4 2025: $4.96Q1 2026: $5.33Q2 2026: $5.68Q3 2026: $6.16Forward: $7.78
Q4 2023: $2.23Q1 2024: $2.54Q2 2024: $1.72Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.55Q1 2025: $3.41Q2 2025: $4.55Q3 2025: $4.87Q4 2025: $4.96Q1 2026: $5.33Q2 2026: $5.68Q3 2026: $6.16Forward: $7.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.78+26%
Q3 2026$6.16+26%
Q2 2026$5.68+25%
Q1 2026$5.33+56%
Q4 2025$4.96+40%
Q3 2025$4.87+40%
Q2 2025$4.55+165%
Q1 2025$3.41+34%
Q4 2024$3.55+59%

RTX has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over RTX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RTX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $19.9BQ1 2024: $19.3BQ2 2024: $19.7BQ3 2024: $20.1BQ4 2024: $21.6BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $21.6BQ3 2025: $22.5BQ4 2025: $24.2BQ1 2026: $22.1BQ2 2026: $24.7BQ3 2026: $25B
Q4 2023: $19.9BQ1 2024: $19.3BQ2 2024: $19.7BQ3 2024: $20.1BQ4 2024: $21.6BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $21.6BQ3 2025: $22.5BQ4 2025: $24.2BQ1 2026: $22.1BQ2 2026: $24.7BQ3 2026: $25B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$25B+11%
Q2 2026$24.7B+14%
Q1 2026$22.1B+8.7%
Q4 2025$24.2B+12%
Q3 2025$22.5B+12%
Q2 2025$21.6B+9.4%
Q1 2025$20.3B+5.2%
Q4 2024$21.6B+8.5%

RTX's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $25B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

RTX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: −$125MQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $492MQ1 2025: $792MQ2 2025: −$72MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $3.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $2.9BQ3 2026: $2.1B
Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: −$125MQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $492MQ1 2025: $792MQ2 2025: −$72MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $3.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $2.9BQ3 2026: $2.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.1B-47%
Q2 2026$2.9B+$3B
Q1 2026$1.3B+65%
Q4 2025$3.2B+549%
Q3 2025$4B+104%
Q2 2025-$72M-103%
Q1 2025$792M+$917M
Q4 2024$492M-87%

RTX has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

RTX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.4BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.4BQ2 2025: 1.4BQ3 2025: 1.4BQ4 2025: 1.4BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 1.4BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.4BQ2 2025: 1.4BQ3 2025: 1.4BQ4 2025: 1.4BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.1M shares
1 year+0.7%+9.7M shares
3 years-5.5%-80M shares
5 years-9.2%-138M shares
Available history-0.3%-4.6M shares

RTX has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RTX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 4.7xQ2 2024: 5.1xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 4.7xQ2 2024: 5.1xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20262.0xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.2xModerate
Q3 20252.5xModerate
Q2 20253.0xElevated
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

RTX's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.5 years a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

RTX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.3Neutral
Stochastic35.3Neutral

RTX's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RTX PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricRTXSector medianRelative
PE32x24x34% above
PE %315827 pts below

RTX is trading at 32x earnings, a 34% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

RTX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$191.63.5% above
20 week MA$200.51.1% below
50 week MA$193.92.3% above
100 week MA$168.618% above
200 week MA$133.549% above

RTX has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

RTX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$88.6$70.3-21%
2021$70.3$84.9+21%
2022$84.9$99.3+17%
2023$99.3$84.1-15%
2024$84.1$116.7+39%
2025$116.7$185.2+59%
2026 YTD$185.2$198.4+7.1%

RTX has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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