RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over RRX overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

RRX

Regal Rexnord Corporation

48
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation18/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

RRX has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RRX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Under pressure

RRX's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RRX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x29x44x58x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x29x44x58x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$181—
Cheap21x$72.73-60%
Fair28x$96.42-47%
Expensive42x$145-19%
Current52x$181—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RRX's PE is in its expensive range at 52x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RRX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RRX, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RRX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RRX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$219.44
Downside-25%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $180.53 on Nov 12.

RRX trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

RRX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.87Q1 2024: $-0.48Q2 2024: $-0.02Q3 2024: $3.17Q4 2024: $2.94Q1 2025: $3.50Q2 2025: $3.75Q3 2025: $3.86Q4 2025: $4.20Q1 2026: $4.30Q2 2026: $4.85Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $12.07
Q4 2023: $-0.87Q1 2024: $-0.48Q2 2024: $-0.02Q3 2024: $3.17Q4 2024: $2.94Q1 2025: $3.50Q2 2025: $3.75Q3 2025: $3.86Q4 2025: $4.20Q1 2026: $4.30Q2 2026: $4.85Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $12.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.07+249%
Q3 2026$3.46-10%
Q2 2026$4.85+29%
Q1 2026$4.30+23%
Q4 2025$4.20+43%
Q3 2025$3.86+22%
Q2 2025$3.75+$3.77
Q1 2025$3.50+$3.98
Q4 2024$2.94+$3.81

RRX has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over RRX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RRX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+6.1%
Q2 2026$1.6B+4.2%
Q1 2026$1.5B+4.3%
Q4 2025$1.5B+4.3%
Q3 2025$1.5B+1.3%
Q2 2025$1.5B-3.3%
Q1 2025$1.4B-8.4%
Q4 2024$1.5B-9.1%

RRX's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1.6B last quarter, up 6.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

RRX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $171MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $126MQ3 2024: $126MQ4 2024: $184MQ1 2025: $86MQ2 2025: $493MQ3 2025: $174MQ4 2025: $141MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $154MQ3 2026: $194M
Q4 2023: $171MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $126MQ3 2024: $126MQ4 2024: $184MQ1 2025: $86MQ2 2025: $493MQ3 2025: $174MQ4 2025: $141MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $154MQ3 2026: $194M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$193.7M+11%
Q2 2026$154.2M-69%
Q1 2026-$2.5M-103%
Q4 2025$140.6M-24%
Q3 2025$174M+39%
Q2 2025$493M+292%
Q1 2025$85.5M+32%
Q4 2024$183.9M+7.6%

RRX has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

RRX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 67MQ2 2026: 67MQ3 2026: 67M
Q4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 67MQ2 2026: 67MQ3 2026: 67M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-300K shares
1 year0%--
3 years+0.5%+300K shares
5 years+62%+25.6M shares
Available history+62%+25.5M shares

RRX has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RRX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.7xQ1 2024: 5.9xQ2 2024: 5.2xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.7xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 3.6x
Q4 2023: 6.7xQ1 2024: 5.9xQ2 2024: 5.2xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.7xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 3.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.6xElevated
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20263.7xElevated
Q4 20253.6xElevated
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20254.0xElevated
Q1 20254.3xHigh
Q4 20244.4xHigh

RRX's net debt is about 3.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.8 years a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

RRX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.7Neutral
Stochastic43.2Neutral

RRX's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RRX PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricRRXSector medianRelative
PE52x24x117% above
PE %975839 pts above

RRX is trading at 52x earnings, a 117% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

RRX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$161.212% above
20 week MA$174.93.2% above
50 week MA$183.11.4% below
100 week MA$160.912% above
200 week MA$155.416% above

RRX has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

RRX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$85.4$120.2+41%
2021$120.2$165.2+37%
2022$165.2$118.6-28%
2023$118.6$148.0+25%
2024$148.0$156.5+5.7%
2025$156.5$145.2-7.2%
2026 YTD$145.2$180.5+24%

RRX has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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