RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

ROK

Rockwell Automation, Inc.

72
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

ROK has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ROK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Healthy

ROK's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ROK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x57x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x57x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap24x$303-25%
Forward27x$404—
Fair32x$396-2.1%
Current32x$404—
Expensive41x$512+27%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ROK's PE is in its fair range at 32x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 27x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ROK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ROK, with profitability improving.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails ROK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ROK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$535.98
Downside-11%$361.46

Calculated from the latest close: $404.20 on Nov 12.

ROK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

ROK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.50Q1 2024: $10.22Q2 2024: $8.79Q3 2024: $8.28Q4 2024: $8.03Q1 2025: $7.94Q2 2025: $8.52Q3 2025: $7.67Q4 2025: $8.75Q1 2026: $9.63Q2 2026: $10.68Q3 2026: $12.54Forward: $15.03
Q4 2023: $10.50Q1 2024: $10.22Q2 2024: $8.79Q3 2024: $8.28Q4 2024: $8.03Q1 2025: $7.94Q2 2025: $8.52Q3 2025: $7.67Q4 2025: $8.75Q1 2026: $9.63Q2 2026: $10.68Q3 2026: $12.54Forward: $15.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.03+20%
Q3 2026$12.54+63%
Q2 2026$10.68+25%
Q1 2026$9.63+21%
Q4 2025$8.75+9%
Q3 2025$7.67-7.4%
Q2 2025$8.52-3.1%
Q1 2025$7.94-22%
Q4 2024$8.03-24%

ROK has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over ROK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ROK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+0.7%
Q2 2026$2.3B+7.9%
Q1 2026$2.2B+12%
Q4 2025$2.1B+12%
Q3 2025$2.3B+14%
Q2 2025$2.1B+4.6%
Q1 2025$2B-5.9%
Q4 2024$1.9B-8.3%

ROK's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $2.3B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

ROK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$35MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: $238MQ3 2024: $367MQ4 2024: $293MQ1 2025: $171MQ2 2025: $489MQ3 2025: $405MQ4 2025: $170MQ1 2026: $275MQ2 2026: $654MQ3 2026: $602M
Q4 2023: −$35MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: $238MQ3 2024: $367MQ4 2024: $293MQ1 2025: $171MQ2 2025: $489MQ3 2025: $405MQ4 2025: $170MQ1 2026: $275MQ2 2026: $654MQ3 2026: $602M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$602M+49%
Q2 2026$654M+34%
Q1 2026$275M+61%
Q4 2025$170M-42%
Q3 2025$405M+10%
Q2 2025$489M+105%
Q1 2025$171M+149%
Q4 2024$293M+$328.3M

ROK has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

ROK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 115MQ1 2024: 115MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 113MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 113MQ4 2025: 113MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 112MQ3 2026: 112M
Q4 2023: 115MQ1 2024: 115MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 113MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 113MQ4 2025: 113MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 112MQ3 2026: 112M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+400K shares
1 year-1%-1.1M shares
3 years-3.1%-3.6M shares
5 years-4.4%-5.1M shares
Available history-3.9%-4.6M shares

ROK has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ROK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20252.0xModerate
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20252.4xModerate
Q4 20242.3xModerate

ROK's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.2 years a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

ROK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.2Neutral
Stochastic25.8Neutral

ROK's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ROK PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricROKSector medianRelative
PE32x24x34% above
PE %52586 pts below

ROK is trading at 32x earnings, a 34% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over ROK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ROK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$423.74.6% below
20 week MA$438.77.9% below
50 week MA$422.94.4% below
100 week MA$368.29.8% above
200 week MA$326.124% above

ROK has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 24% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

ROK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$203.0$248.6+22%
2021$248.6$340.1+37%
2022$340.1$256.7-25%
2023$256.7$310.5+21%
2024$310.5$290.5-6.4%
2025$290.5$399.8+38%
2026 YTD$399.8$404.2+1.1%

ROK has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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