RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over ROCK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

ROCK

Gibraltar Industries, Inc.

43
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

ROCK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ROCK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

ROCK's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ROCK PE Valuation

ROCK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over ROCK on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

ROCK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ROCK's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ROCK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ROCK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$44.20
Downside-30%$21.67

Calculated from the latest close: $30.89 on Nov 12.

ROCK trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB has the edge over ROCK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ROCK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.59Q1 2024: $3.72Q2 2024: $3.77Q3 2024: $3.60Q4 2024: $4.46Q1 2025: $4.34Q2 2025: $4.16Q3 2025: $0.07Q4 2025: $-1.48Q1 2026: $-4.43Q2 2026: $-5.02Q3 2026: $-1.65Forward: $3.14
Q4 2023: $3.59Q1 2024: $3.72Q2 2024: $3.77Q3 2024: $3.60Q4 2024: $4.46Q1 2025: $4.34Q2 2025: $4.16Q3 2025: $0.07Q4 2025: $-1.48Q1 2026: $-4.43Q2 2026: $-5.02Q3 2026: $-1.65Forward: $3.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.14—
Q3 2026-$1.65-2457%
Q2 2026-$5.02-221%
Q1 2026-$4.43-202%
Q4 2025-$1.48-133%
Q3 2025$0.07-98%
Q2 2025$4.16+10%
Q1 2025$4.34+17%
Q4 2024$4.46+24%

ROCK has swung to a loss: it lost $1.65 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over ROCK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ROCK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $329MQ1 2024: $293MQ2 2024: $353MQ3 2024: $361MQ4 2024: $302MQ1 2025: $290MQ2 2025: $310MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $269MQ1 2026: $356MQ2 2026: $510MQ3 2026: $480M
Q4 2023: $329MQ1 2024: $293MQ2 2024: $353MQ3 2024: $361MQ4 2024: $302MQ1 2025: $290MQ2 2025: $310MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $269MQ1 2026: $356MQ2 2026: $510MQ3 2026: $480M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$479.6M+54%
Q2 2026$509.5M+65%
Q1 2026$356.3M+23%
Q4 2025$268.7M-11%
Q3 2025$310.9M-14%
Q2 2025$309.5M-12%
Q1 2025$290M-0.9%
Q4 2024$302.1M-8.1%

ROCK's revenue is growing: $480M last quarter, up 54% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

ROCK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $59MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $65MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: −$3M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $59MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $65MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: −$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1M-105%
Q2 2026-$1.4M-105%
Q1 2026-$47.2M-2193%
Q4 2025$26.2M+90%
Q3 2025$64.8M+9.7%
Q2 2025$27.3M-15%
Q1 2025$2.3M-95%
Q4 2024$13.8M+187%

ROCK's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$26M over the past year.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

ROCK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+97K shares
1 year+0.1%+43K shares
3 years-2.6%-809K shares
5 years-9.5%-3.1M shares
Available history-8.6%-2.8M shares

ROCK has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ROCK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: 9.3xQ2 2026: 7.6xQ3 2026: 6.6x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: 9.3xQ2 2026: 7.6xQ3 2026: 6.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.6xHigh
Q2 20267.6xHigh
Q1 20269.3xHigh
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.6xNet Cash

ROCK's net debt is about 6.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

ROCK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic13.0Oversold

ROCK's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ROCK PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricROCKSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

ROCK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over ROCK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ROCK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$37.217% below
20 week MA$42.026% below
50 week MA$43.729% below
100 week MA$52.141% below
200 week MA$59.648% below

ROCK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 48% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over ROCK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ROCK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.6$71.7+42%
2021$71.7$66.8-6.9%
2022$66.8$45.7-32%
2023$45.7$79.0+73%
2024$79.0$59.2-25%
2025$59.2$50.8-14%
2026 YTD$50.8$30.9-39%

ROCK has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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