RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ZETA

Zeta Global Holdings Corp.

73
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

ZETA has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ZETA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

ZETA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ZETA PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward29x$37.27—
Current248x$37.27—
CheapN/AN/AN/A
FairN/AN/AN/A
ExpensiveN/AN/AN/A

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ZETA's PE is 248x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ZETA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ZETA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails ZETA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ZETA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+60%$59.54
Downside-36%$23.87

Calculated from the latest close: $37.27 on Nov 12.

ZETA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

ZETA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.20Q1 2024: $-1.05Q2 2024: $-0.87Q3 2024: $-0.69Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.25Q2 2025: $-0.15Q3 2025: $-0.08Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $-0.10Q2 2026: $-0.01Q3 2026: $0.15Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $-1.20Q1 2024: $-1.05Q2 2024: $-0.87Q3 2024: $-0.69Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.25Q2 2025: $-0.15Q3 2025: $-0.08Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $-0.10Q2 2026: $-0.01Q3 2026: $0.15Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27+748%
Q3 2026$0.15+$0.23
Q2 2026-$0.01+$0.14
Q1 2026-$0.10+$0.15
Q4 2025-$0.14+$0.24
Q3 2025-$0.08+$0.61
Q2 2025-$0.15+$0.72
Q1 2025-$0.25+$0.80
Q4 2024-$0.38+$0.82

ZETA has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

ZETA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $195MQ2 2024: $228MQ3 2024: $268MQ4 2024: $315MQ1 2025: $264MQ2 2025: $308MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $395MQ1 2026: $396MQ2 2026: $443MQ3 2026: $493M
Q4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $195MQ2 2024: $228MQ3 2024: $268MQ4 2024: $315MQ1 2025: $264MQ2 2025: $308MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $395MQ1 2026: $396MQ2 2026: $443MQ3 2026: $493M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$492.7M+46%
Q2 2026$442.8M+44%
Q1 2026$396.3M+50%
Q4 2025$394.6M+25%
Q3 2025$337.2M+26%
Q2 2025$308.4M+35%
Q1 2025$264.4M+36%
Q4 2024$314.7M+50%

ZETA has the edge over RIVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

ZETA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $24MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $61MQ1 2026: $47MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $88M
Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $24MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $61MQ1 2026: $47MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $88M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$88.3M+68%
Q2 2026$64.4M+62%
Q1 2026$46.7M+46%
Q4 2025$60.9M+72%
Q3 2025$52.4M+78%
Q2 2025$39.7M+63%
Q1 2025$32.1M+70%
Q4 2024$35.4M+66%

ZETA has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has the edge over ZETA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ZETA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 157MQ1 2024: 171MQ2 2024: 178MQ3 2024: 188MQ4 2024: 186MQ1 2025: 213MQ2 2025: 217MQ3 2025: 222MQ4 2025: 221MQ1 2026: 239MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 265M
Q4 2023: 157MQ1 2024: 171MQ2 2024: 178MQ3 2024: 188MQ4 2024: 186MQ1 2025: 213MQ2 2025: 217MQ3 2025: 222MQ4 2025: 221MQ1 2026: 239MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 265M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.1%+8M shares
1 year+19%+42.2M shares
3 years+67%+107M shares
5 years+417%+213M shares
Available history+712%+232M shares

ZETA has 265M diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ZETA Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -14.1xQ2 2025: -4.5xQ3 2025: -3.0xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q1 2025: -14.1xQ2 2025: -4.5xQ3 2025: -3.0xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-14.1xNet Cash

ZETA has more cash than debt.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

ZETA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.3Overbought
Stochastic75.8Neutral

ZETA's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ZETA PE vs Technology Sector

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

ZETA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.615% above
20 week MA$28.630% above
50 week MA$22.665% above
100 week MA$19.789% above
200 week MA$16.7123% above

ZETA has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

ZETA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$8.27$8.40+1.6%
2022$8.40$8.21-2.3%
2023$8.21$8.82+7.4%
2024$8.82$17.7+100%
2025$17.7$20.7+17%
2026 YTD$20.7$37.3+80%

ZETA has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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