RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has a slight edge over XPEV overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
XPEV
XPeng Inc.
XPEV has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
XPEV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
XPEV's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
XPEV PE Valuation
XPEV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
XPEV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect XPEV's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN has the edge over XPEV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
XPEV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.93 | -$0.25 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.58 | +$0.23 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.12 | +$0.80 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.45 | +$0.47 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.68 | +$0.63 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.81 | +$0.79 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.92 | +$0.87 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.92 | +$1.07 |
XPEV is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.93 per share over the past year, against $1.99 at its worst in late 2023.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
XPEV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3B | +7.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.9B | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.3B | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | +102% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +125% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4B | +141% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.4B | +23% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.5B | +18% |
XPEV has the edge over RIVN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -6.7% | -1.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -16% | -9.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -4.2% | +5.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | -3.7% | +15 points |
| Q2 2025 | -5.1% | +15 points |
| Q1 2025 | -6.6% | +19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -9.7% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -18% | +19 points |
XPEV has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has the edge over XPEV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
XPEV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2024 | $0 | $0 |
XPEV's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
XPEV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +541K shares |
| 1 year | -49% | -467M shares |
| 3 years | -45% | -383M shares |
| 5 years | -44% | -377M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -377M shares |
XPEV has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
XPEV hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
XPEV Net Leverage
XPEV's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
XPEV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 17.7 | Oversold |
XPEV's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
XPEV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
XPEV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
XPEV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.56 | 1% below |
| 20 week MA | $11.1 | 14% below |
| 50 week MA | $14.9 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $17.2 | 45% below |
| 200 week MA | $14.2 | 33% below |
XPEV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has the edge over XPEV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
XPEV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $22.8 | $41.9 | +84% |
| 2021 | $41.9 | $46.1 | +10% |
| 2022 | $46.1 | $10.1 | -78% |
| 2023 | $10.1 | $14.6 | +45% |
| 2024 | $14.6 | $12.6 | -13% |
| 2025 | $12.6 | $20.8 | +65% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.8 | $9.46 | -54% |
XPEV is down 54% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.