RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink, though they disagree widely on how much.

XELB

Xcel Brands, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score XELB yet.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

XELB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Strong

XELB's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

XELB PE Valuation

XELB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

XELB Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for XELB to show an outlook.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare RIVN and XELB's risk to reward.

XELB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.35 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare RIVN and XELB's risk to reward.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 173% for RIVN versus XELB down 236%.

XELB Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-10.20Q4 2023: $-10.70Q1 2024: $-10.90Q2 2024: $-9.00Q3 2024: $-10.30Q4 2024: $-16.05Q1 2025: $-14.13Q2 2025: $-15.89Q3 2025: $-14.01
Q3 2023: $-10.20Q4 2023: $-10.70Q1 2024: $-10.90Q2 2024: $-9.00Q3 2024: $-10.30Q4 2024: $-16.05Q1 2025: $-14.13Q2 2025: $-15.89Q3 2025: $-14.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2025-$14.01-$3.71
Q2 2025-$15.89-$6.89
Q1 2025-$14.13-$3.23
Q4 2024-$16.05-$5.35
Q3 2024-$10.30-$0.10
Q2 2024-$9.00+$0.70
Q1 2024-$10.90-$7.80
Q4 2023-$10.70-$8.70

XELB lost $14.01 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over XELB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XELB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $1M
Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $1M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.1M-15%
Q1 2026$1.1M-14%
Q4 2025$1.2M-3.4%
Q3 2025$1.1M-42%
Q2 2025$1.3M-55%
Q1 2025$1.3M-39%
Q4 2024$1.2M-47%
Q3 2024$1.9M-27%

XELB's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $1M last quarter, down 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: โˆ’$1.5BQ2 2024: โˆ’$1BQ3 2024: โˆ’$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: โˆ’$526MQ2 2025: โˆ’$398MQ3 2025: โˆ’$421MQ4 2025: โˆ’$1.1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$1.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$849MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.1B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: โˆ’$1.5BQ2 2024: โˆ’$1BQ3 2024: โˆ’$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: โˆ’$526MQ2 2025: โˆ’$398MQ3 2025: โˆ’$421MQ4 2025: โˆ’$1.1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$1.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$849MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 2.1% versus its history, compared with XELB at down 16%.

XELB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: โˆ’$1MQ4 2023: โˆ’$4MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$432,000Q4 2024: โˆ’$1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$1MQ2 2025: โˆ’$2MQ3 2025: โˆ’$1MQ4 2025: โˆ’$2MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
Q3 2023: โˆ’$1MQ4 2023: โˆ’$4MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$432,000Q4 2024: โˆ’$1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$1MQ2 2025: โˆ’$2MQ3 2025: โˆ’$1MQ4 2025: โˆ’$2MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025-$1.8M-$418K
Q3 2025-$1.4M-$966K
Q4 2024-$1.4M+$2.3M
Q3 2024-$432K+$913K
Q4 2023-$3.7M-$571K
Q3 2023-$1.3M+$1.1M
Q2 2023$1.4M+$9.3M
Q1 2023-$3M-$2.1M

XELB has burned cash in most quarters: โˆ’$7M over the past year, against โˆ’$7M the year before.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has the edge over XELB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

XELB Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2MQ4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 2MQ2 2025: 2MQ3 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6M
Q3 2023: 2MQ4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 2MQ2 2025: 2MQ3 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.3%+256K shares
1 year+159%+3.8M shares
3 years+214%+4.2M shares
5 years+220%+4.2M shares
Available history+225%+4.3M shares

XELB has 6M diluted shares, up 159% from a year ago, despite $190,000 in buybacks over the past year.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

XELB Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2023-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 201911.0xHigh
Q3 20191.9xHealthy

XELB has more cash than debt.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

XELB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI27.2Oversold
Stochastic11.5Oversold

XELB's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

XELB PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricXELBSector medianRelative
PEN/A18xโ€”

XELB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

XELB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.5030% below
20 week MA$0.8860% below
50 week MA$1.3674% below
100 week MA$1.8781% below
200 week MA$5.5794% below

XELB is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 94% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over XELB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

XELB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.0$11.4-29%
2021$11.4$12.0+5.3%
2022$12.0$7.40-38%
2023$7.40$12.9+74%
2024$12.9$4.85-62%
2025$4.85$1.37-72%
2026 YTD$1.37$0.35-74%

XELB has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 74% so far in 2026.

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