RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has the edge over WYNN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

WYNN

Wynn Resorts, Limited

36
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential30/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

WYNN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WYNN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

WYNN's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WYNN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE420x840x1261x1681x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE420x840x1261x1681x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$42.76-48%
Forward21x$83.02—
Fair24x$82.88-0.2%
Current24x$83.02—
Expensive36x$127+53%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WYNN's PE is in its fair range at 24x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 21x.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over WYNN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

WYNN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect WYNN's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WYNN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

WYNN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$99.16
Downside-45%$45.78

Calculated from the latest close: $83.02 on Nov 12.

WYNN trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

WYNN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.32Q1 2024: $7.64Q2 2024: $7.71Q3 2024: $8.45Q4 2024: $4.35Q1 2025: $3.74Q2 2025: $3.47Q3 2025: $4.61Q4 2025: $3.14Q1 2026: $3.49Q2 2026: $4.17Q3 2026: $3.49Forward: $3.89
Q4 2023: $6.32Q1 2024: $7.64Q2 2024: $7.71Q3 2024: $8.45Q4 2024: $4.35Q1 2025: $3.74Q2 2025: $3.47Q3 2025: $4.61Q4 2025: $3.14Q1 2026: $3.49Q2 2026: $4.17Q3 2026: $3.49Forward: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.89+11%
Q3 2026$3.49-24%
Q2 2026$4.17+20%
Q1 2026$3.49-6.7%
Q4 2025$3.14-28%
Q3 2025$4.61-45%
Q2 2025$3.47-55%
Q1 2025$3.74-51%
Q4 2024$4.35-31%

WYNN has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over WYNN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WYNN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B-7.9%
Q2 2026$1.9B+6.9%
Q1 2026$1.9B+9.2%
Q4 2025$1.9B+1.5%
Q3 2025$1.8B+8.3%
Q2 2025$1.7B+0.3%
Q1 2025$1.7B-8.7%
Q4 2024$1.8B-0.1%

WYNN's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $1.7B last quarter, down 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

WYNN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $328MQ1 2024: $217MQ2 2024: $259MQ3 2024: $178MQ4 2024: $352MQ1 2025: −$26MQ2 2025: $240MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $307MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $339MQ3 2026: −$105M
Q4 2023: $328MQ1 2024: $217MQ2 2024: $259MQ3 2024: $178MQ4 2024: $352MQ1 2025: −$26MQ2 2025: $240MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $307MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $339MQ3 2026: −$105M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$104.8M-161%
Q2 2026$338.9M+41%
Q1 2026-$25.6M+$548K
Q4 2025$306.8M-13%
Q3 2025$171.8M-3.5%
Q2 2025$239.8M-7.5%
Q1 2025-$26.2M-112%
Q4 2024$351.8M+7.3%

WYNN has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

WYNN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 113MQ1 2024: 111MQ2 2024: 111MQ3 2024: 110MQ4 2024: 110MQ1 2025: 106MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 104MQ2 2026: 103MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 113MQ1 2024: 111MQ2 2024: 111MQ3 2024: 110MQ4 2024: 110MQ1 2025: 106MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 104MQ2 2026: 103MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-716K shares
1 year-1.3%-1.4M shares
3 years-9.3%-10.5M shares
5 years-11%-12.4M shares
Available history-4.4%-4.7M shares

WYNN has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WYNN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 5.2xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ3 2025: 5.0xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 5.3xQ2 2026: 5.1xQ3 2026: 5.4x
Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 5.2xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ3 2025: 5.0xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 5.3xQ2 2026: 5.1xQ3 2026: 5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.4xHigh
Q2 20265.1xHigh
Q1 20265.3xHigh
Q4 20255.2xHigh
Q3 20255.0xHigh
Q2 20255.2xHigh
Q1 20255.1xHigh
Q4 20244.5xHigh

WYNN's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.0 years a year ago.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

WYNN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.6Neutral
Stochastic25.5Neutral

WYNN's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WYNN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricWYNNSector medianRelative
PE24x18x32% above
PE %49472 pts above

WYNN is trading at 24x earnings, a 32% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

WYNN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$77.76.9% above
20 week MA$88.66.3% below
50 week MA$100.918% below
100 week MA$100.317% below
200 week MA$98.516% below

WYNN has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

WYNN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.8$114.4-18%
2021$114.4$88.9-22%
2022$88.9$80.7-9.2%
2023$80.7$91.1+13%
2024$91.1$88.7-2.7%
2025$88.7$124.4+40%
2026 YTD$124.4$83.0-33%

WYNN has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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