RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

WSM

Williams-Sonoma, Inc.

55
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation25/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

WSM has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WSM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

WSM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WSM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.3x15x22x29x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.3x15x22x29x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9x$87.36-65%
Fair17x$164-34%
Expensive22x$212-15%
Forward25x$250—
Current26x$250—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WSM's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WSM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WSM, with profitability improving.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WSM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WSM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$319.40
Downside-20%$200.67

Calculated from the latest close: $250.38 on Nov 12.

WSM trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

WSM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.18Q1 2024: $7.28Q2 2024: $8.13Q3 2024: $8.31Q4 2024: $8.45Q1 2025: $8.79Q2 2025: $8.61Q3 2025: $8.87Q4 2025: $8.87Q1 2026: $8.84Q2 2026: $8.92Q3 2026: $9.76Forward: $10.16
Q4 2023: $7.18Q1 2024: $7.28Q2 2024: $8.13Q3 2024: $8.31Q4 2024: $8.45Q1 2025: $8.79Q2 2025: $8.61Q3 2025: $8.87Q4 2025: $8.87Q1 2026: $8.84Q2 2026: $8.92Q3 2026: $9.76Forward: $10.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.16+4.1%
Q3 2026$9.76+10%
Q2 2026$8.92+3.6%
Q1 2026$8.84+0.6%
Q4 2025$8.87+5%
Q3 2025$8.87+6.7%
Q2 2025$8.61+5.9%
Q1 2025$8.79+21%
Q4 2024$8.45+18%

WSM has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over WSM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WSM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+6.7%
Q2 2026$1.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$2.4B-4.3%
Q4 2025$1.9B+4.6%
Q3 2025$1.8B+2.7%
Q2 2025$1.7B+4.2%
Q1 2025$2.5B+8%
Q4 2024$1.8B-2.9%

WSM's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $2B last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

WSM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $248MQ1 2024: $621MQ2 2024: $187MQ3 2024: $215MQ4 2024: $170MQ1 2025: $566MQ2 2025: $61MQ3 2025: $231MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $516MQ2 2026: $99MQ3 2026: $481M
Q4 2023: $248MQ1 2024: $621MQ2 2024: $187MQ3 2024: $215MQ4 2024: $170MQ1 2025: $566MQ2 2025: $61MQ3 2025: $231MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $516MQ2 2026: $99MQ3 2026: $481M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$480.8M+108%
Q2 2026$98.6M+63%
Q1 2026$516M-8.9%
Q4 2025$248.1M+46%
Q3 2025$230.7M+7.3%
Q2 2025$60.7M-68%
Q1 2025$566.3M-8.8%
Q4 2024$170.1M-32%

WSM has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

WSM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 130MQ1 2024: 131MQ2 2024: 131MQ3 2024: 130MQ4 2024: 127MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 125MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 123MQ1 2026: 123MQ2 2026: 120MQ3 2026: 119M
Q4 2023: 130MQ1 2024: 131MQ2 2024: 131MQ3 2024: 130MQ4 2024: 127MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 125MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 123MQ1 2026: 123MQ2 2026: 120MQ3 2026: 119M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-1M shares
1 year-3.8%-4.7M shares
3 years-7.9%-10.2M shares
5 years-22%-34.3M shares
Available history-25%-39.5M shares

WSM has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WSM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

WSM has more cash than debt.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

WSM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.1Neutral
Stochastic66.6Neutral

WSM's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WSM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricWSMSector medianRelative
PE26x18x42% above
PE %984751 pts above

WSM is trading at 26x earnings, a 42% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

WSM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$245.71.9% above
20 week MA$237.15.6% above
50 week MA$213.118% above
100 week MA$197.327% above
200 week MA$151.365% above

WSM has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

WSM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.5$53.8+47%
2021$53.8$84.5+57%
2022$84.5$60.1-29%
2023$60.1$100.9+68%
2024$100.9$186.1+84%
2025$186.1$188.6+1.4%
2026 YTD$188.6$250.4+33%

WSM has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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