RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

WING

Wingstop Inc.

70
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

WING has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WING Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Weak

WING's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WING PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE51x102x153x203x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE51x102x153x203x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward35x$159—
Current37x$159—
Cheap45x$192+20%
Fair104x$445+180%
Expensive156x$670+321%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WING's PE is in its cheap range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 35x next year's earnings.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WING Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WING, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails WING on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

WING Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+53%$243.32
Downside-28%$114.64

Calculated from the latest close: $159.26 on Nov 12.

WING has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

WING Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.35Q1 2024: $2.81Q2 2024: $3.20Q3 2024: $3.43Q4 2024: $3.70Q1 2025: $5.96Q2 2025: $5.99Q3 2025: $6.13Q4 2025: $6.21Q1 2026: $4.05Q2 2026: $4.24Q3 2026: $4.29Forward: $4.59
Q4 2023: $2.35Q1 2024: $2.81Q2 2024: $3.20Q3 2024: $3.43Q4 2024: $3.70Q1 2025: $5.96Q2 2025: $5.99Q3 2025: $6.13Q4 2025: $6.21Q1 2026: $4.05Q2 2026: $4.24Q3 2026: $4.29Forward: $4.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.59+7.1%
Q3 2026$4.29-30%
Q2 2026$4.24-29%
Q1 2026$4.05-32%
Q4 2025$6.21+68%
Q3 2025$6.13+79%
Q2 2025$5.99+87%
Q1 2025$5.96+112%
Q4 2024$3.70+57%

WING has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

WING Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $127MQ1 2024: $146MQ2 2024: $156MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $162MQ1 2025: $171MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $176MQ4 2025: $176MQ1 2026: $184MQ2 2026: $186MQ3 2026: $185M
Q4 2023: $127MQ1 2024: $146MQ2 2024: $156MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $162MQ1 2025: $171MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $176MQ4 2025: $176MQ1 2026: $184MQ2 2026: $186MQ3 2026: $185M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$185.1M+5.3%
Q2 2026$185.6M+6.4%
Q1 2026$183.7M+7.4%
Q4 2025$175.7M+8.6%
Q3 2025$175.7M+8.1%
Q2 2025$174.3M+12%
Q1 2025$171.1M+17%
Q4 2024$161.8M+27%

WING's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $185M last quarter, up 5.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

WING Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $44MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: $50M
Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $44MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: $50M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$49.7M-19%
Q2 2026-$11.3M-$3.5M
Q1 2026$43.7M+153%
Q4 2025$34.5M+$43.1M
Q3 2025$61.7M+12%
Q2 2025-$7.8M-130%
Q1 2025$17.3M-48%
Q4 2024-$8.6M-134%

WING has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

WING Total Shares

Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-115K shares
1 year-3.1%-854K shares
3 years-9%-2.7M shares
5 years-9.4%-2.8M shares
Available history-8.7%-2.6M shares

WING has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WING Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 3.9xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ3 2025: 4.9xQ4 2025: 5.0xQ1 2026: 5.0xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 4.8x
Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 3.9xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ3 2025: 4.9xQ4 2025: 5.0xQ1 2026: 5.0xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 4.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.8xHigh
Q2 20264.8xHigh
Q1 20265.0xHigh
Q4 20255.0xHigh
Q3 20254.9xHigh
Q2 20255.2xHigh
Q1 20255.2xHigh
Q4 20244.8xHigh

WING's net debt is about 4.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

WING Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic87.0Overbought

WING's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WING PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricWINGSector medianRelative
PE37x18x106% above
PE %84739 pts below

WING is trading at 37x earnings, a 106% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

WING Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$131.521% above
20 week MA$129.623% above
50 week MA$175.99.5% below
100 week MA$228.630% below
200 week MA$251.237% below

WING has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

WING Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$86.2$140.8+63%
2021$140.8$173.0+23%
2022$173.0$145.7-16%
2023$145.7$256.6+76%
2024$256.6$285.4+11%
2025$285.4$256.2-10%
2026 YTD$256.2$159.3-38%

WING has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key