RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has the edge over WGO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
WGO
Winnebago Industries, Inc.
WGO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
WGO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
WGO's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
WGO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6x | $7.31 | -76% |
| Fair | 15x | $18.48 | -40% |
| Forward | 16x | $31.04 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $31.82 | +2.5% |
| Current | 26x | $31.04 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WGO's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over WGO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
WGO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect WGO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
WGO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.98 | +63% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.21 | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.36 | +$1.81 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.47 | +$1.58 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.28 | +$1.80 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.91 | +107% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.45 | -117% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.11 | -103% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.52 | -110% |
WGO has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over WGO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
WGO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $645.1M | -17% |
| Q2 2026 | $698.7M | -9.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $657.4M | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $702.7M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $777.3M | +7.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $775.1M | -1.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $620.2M | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $625.6M | -18% |
WGO's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $645M last quarter, down 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.7% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.3% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.8% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2% | +2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6% | +5.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.9% | -1.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | -0.1% | -5.3 points |
WGO has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
WGO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $135.2M | -21% |
| Q2 2026 | $18.7M | +$54.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$29.1M | -$10.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $19.8M | +$46.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $171.2M | +480% |
| Q2 2025 | -$36.1M | -141% |
| Q1 2025 | -$18.9M | -233% |
| Q4 2024 | -$26.7M | +$6.5M |
WGO has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
WGO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +100K shares |
| 3 years | -20% | -7M shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -5.7M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -3.9M shares |
WGO has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $1.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $100,000 |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $20M |
| Q4 2024 | $33.6M |
WGO spent $2M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 97% from the year before.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
WGO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 6.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 3.6x | Elevated |
WGO's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago.
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
WGO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.5 | Neutral |
WGO's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
WGO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | WGO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 42% above |
| PE % | 82 | 47 | 35 pts above |
WGO is trading at 26x earnings, a 42% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
WGO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $27.8 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $29.3 | 5.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $33.8 | 8.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $35.1 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $48.6 | 36% below |
WGO has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.
WGO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $53.2 | $65.3 | +23% |
| 2021 | $65.3 | $71.2 | +8.9% |
| 2022 | $71.2 | $53.3 | -25% |
| 2023 | $53.3 | $72.9 | +37% |
| 2024 | $72.9 | $46.9 | -36% |
| 2025 | $46.9 | $41.9 | -11% |
| 2026 YTD | $41.9 | $31.0 | -26% |
WGO has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.