RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has the edge over WEN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

WEN

The Wendy's Company

49
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential21/ 100
Risk potential48/ 100

WEN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WEN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Weak

WEN's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WEN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x53x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x53x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$5.76-30%
Current16x$8.18—
Fair23x$11.48+40%
Expensive39x$19.70+141%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WEN's PE is in its cheap range at 16x.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WEN Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for WEN to show an outlook.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WEN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

WEN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$9.19
Downside-48%$4.26

Calculated from the latest close: $8.18 on Nov 12.

WEN trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

WEN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.97Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $0.97Q3 2024: $0.94Q4 2024: $0.95Q1 2025: $0.94Q2 2025: $0.96Q3 2025: $0.94Q4 2025: $0.85Q1 2026: $0.78Q2 2026: $0.66Q3 2026: $0.51
Q4 2023: $0.97Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $0.97Q3 2024: $0.94Q4 2024: $0.95Q1 2025: $0.94Q2 2025: $0.96Q3 2025: $0.94Q4 2025: $0.85Q1 2026: $0.78Q2 2026: $0.66Q3 2026: $0.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.51-46%
Q2 2026$0.66-31%
Q1 2026$0.78-17%
Q4 2025$0.85-11%
Q3 2025$0.940%
Q2 2025$0.96-1%
Q1 2025$0.94-4.1%
Q4 2024$0.95-2.1%

WEN has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over WEN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WEN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $541MQ1 2024: $535MQ2 2024: $571MQ3 2024: $567MQ4 2024: $574MQ1 2025: $523MQ2 2025: $561MQ3 2025: $550MQ4 2025: $543MQ1 2026: $541MQ2 2026: $571MQ3 2026: $547M
Q4 2023: $541MQ1 2024: $535MQ2 2024: $571MQ3 2024: $567MQ4 2024: $574MQ1 2025: $523MQ2 2025: $561MQ3 2025: $550MQ4 2025: $543MQ1 2026: $541MQ2 2026: $571MQ3 2026: $547M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$547M-0.5%
Q2 2026$570.6M+1.7%
Q1 2026$540.6M+3.3%
Q4 2025$543M-5.5%
Q3 2025$549.5M-3%
Q2 2025$560.9M-1.7%
Q1 2025$523.5M-2.1%
Q4 2024$574.3M+6.2%

WEN's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $547M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

WEN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $123MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $68MQ2 2025: $39MQ3 2025: $104MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $62M
Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $123MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $68MQ2 2025: $39MQ3 2025: $104MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $62M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$61.7M-41%
Q2 2026$81M+107%
Q1 2026$47.5M-30%
Q4 2025$31.4M+18%
Q3 2025$104.3M-15%
Q2 2025$39.2M+38%
Q1 2025$67.7M-18%
Q4 2024$26.6M-43%

WEN has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

WEN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 212MQ1 2024: 207MQ2 2024: 206MQ3 2024: 204MQ4 2024: 206MQ1 2025: 202MQ2 2025: 193MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 194MQ1 2026: 191MQ2 2026: 191MQ3 2026: 192M
Q4 2023: 212MQ1 2024: 207MQ2 2024: 206MQ3 2024: 204MQ4 2024: 206MQ1 2025: 202MQ2 2025: 193MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 194MQ1 2026: 191MQ2 2026: 191MQ3 2026: 192M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+589K shares
1 year+0.3%+548K shares
3 years-8.9%-18.8M shares
5 years-15%-33.3M shares
Available history-18%-43.3M shares

WEN has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WEN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.3xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 4.5xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.7xQ3 2025: 4.7xQ4 2025: 5.0xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 5.3xQ3 2026: 5.6x
Q4 2023: 4.3xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 4.5xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.7xQ3 2025: 4.7xQ4 2025: 5.0xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 5.3xQ3 2026: 5.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.6xHigh
Q2 20265.3xHigh
Q1 20265.1xHigh
Q4 20255.0xHigh
Q3 20254.7xHigh
Q2 20254.7xHigh
Q1 20254.6xHigh
Q4 20244.5xHigh

WEN's net debt is about 5.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.7 years a year ago.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

WEN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.9Neutral
Stochastic59.6Neutral

WEN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WEN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricWENSector medianRelative
PE16x18x11% below
PE %254722 pts below

WEN is trading at 16x earnings, a 11% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

WEN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.9218% above
20 week MA$7.489.4% above
50 week MA$7.568.2% above
100 week MA$9.7716% below
200 week MA$14.744% below

WEN has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

WEN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.2$22.5+1.3%
2021$22.5$23.3+3.9%
2022$23.3$23.1-0.9%
2023$23.1$19.5-16%
2024$19.5$16.5-15%
2025$16.5$8.35-49%
2026 YTD$8.35$8.18-2%

WEN has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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