RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
VSXY
Victoria's Secret & Company
VSXY has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
VSXY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
VSXY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VSXY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.8x | $30.32 | -71% |
| Fair | 14x | $60.95 | -42% |
| Forward | 20x | $105 | — |
| Current | 23x | $105 | — |
| Expensive | 24x | $108 | +3.3% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VSXY's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
VSXY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VSXY, with profitability improving.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
VSXY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.24 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.49 | +139% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.51 | +21% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.93 | -5.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.13 | +8.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.88 | +7.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.08 | +56% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.05 | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.96 | +69% |
VSXY has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over VSXY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
VSXY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6B | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3B | +7.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B | +9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5B | +3% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | -0.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.1B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | +6.5% |
VSXY's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1.6B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | +13 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.9% | +3.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 10% | -2.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.3% | +2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.8% | -1.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.5% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.5% | +1.8 points |
VSXY has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
VSXY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $328M | +273% |
| Q2 2026 | -$191M | +$2M |
| Q1 2026 | $649M | +0.5% |
| Q4 2025 | -$232M | +$67M |
| Q3 2025 | $88M | +60% |
| Q2 2025 | -$193M | -$38M |
| Q1 2025 | $646M | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | -$299M | -$38M |
VSXY has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
VSXY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | +2.4% | +2M shares |
| 3 years | +9.1% | +7M shares |
| 5 years | -4.9% | -4.4M shares |
VSXY has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $100M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
VSXY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 2.2x | Moderate |
VSXY's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
VSXY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 65.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 83.0 | Overbought |
VSXY's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VSXY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | VSXY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 18x | 29% above |
| PE % | 82 | 55 | 27 pts above |
VSXY is trading at 23x earnings, a 29% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
VSXY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $93.1 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $87.2 | 20% above |
| 50 week MA | $69.2 | 51% above |
| 100 week MA | $47.9 | 119% above |
| 200 week MA | $36.4 | 188% above |
VSXY has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.
VSXY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $42.1 | $49.1 | +17% |
| 2022 | $49.1 | $40.4 | -18% |
| 2023 | $40.4 | $26.5 | -34% |
| 2024 | $26.5 | $42.3 | +59% |
| 2025 | $42.3 | $53.8 | +27% |
| 2026 YTD | $53.8 | $104.6 | +94% |
VSXY has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.